trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 100% | 0% | -9.0% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 50% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 20% | 0% | -9.5% |
| all | 25 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 8% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 26 | $101 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 08 | $101 | $0 | -0% |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 02 | $101 | $0 | -0% |
| Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 21 | $101 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | May 18 | $101 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026? | May 13 | $101 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 08 | $101 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April? | Apr 17 | $102 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 30 | $208 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 20 | $208 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 17 | $208 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin | Mar 15 | $208 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 12 | $208 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? | Mar 05 | $209 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Mar 02 | $209 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Feb 28 | $210 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Feb 07 | $210 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | Jan 06 | $204 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Sunderland win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Jan 04 | $204 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 03 | $203 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026? | Jan 02 | $205 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Jan 02 | $205 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Dec 31 | $203 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Dec 30 | $200 | $0 | -0% |