Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:59:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7C
0x7c82…5a52
sports · 813 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$3,952 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,116 · open −$164
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,476
Realized+$4,116
Unrealized−$164
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses439 / 370
Whale WR (big bets)91%
Est. fees paid−$363
Open positions4
Markets (closed)809 / 813
History coverage158d
Avg bet$58
Trades / day8.6
Drawdown22%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 4 History 809 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$170
7 days+$749
14 days+$1,658
30 days+$3,613
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 86¢ 78¢ $1,597 $1,458 −$139 (-9%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 68¢ 50¢ $18 $13 −$5 (-26%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-6%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner KT Rolster 25¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner Weibo Gaming Youth Team 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 42¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 1 Winner Top Esports Challenger 6¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: GIANTX vs Solary - Game 2 Winner Solary 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5) BetBoom Team 45¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Dota 2: SoloTeam vs by Owl Team - Game 2 Winner SoloTeam 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 72¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Anyones Legend 38¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Marta Kostyuk 55¢ 0¢ $600 $0 −$600 (-100%)
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner Shopify Rebellion 29¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 4 Winner Team Falcons 18¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 60¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BNK FEARX 20¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Teichmann (+1.5) Teichmann 32¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Dota 2: PlayTime vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner PARIVISION 40¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner Bilibili Gaming Junior 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 26¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winner Team Secret Whales 67¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) Bilibili Gaming 60¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 4 Winner JD Gaming 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner TLN Pirates 11¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $1,307 +$296 +23%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $23 +$44 +187%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $603 −$600 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $25 +$45 +175%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$3 +33%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 12 $76 −$75 -99%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $10 −$4 -42%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$13 +124%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $25 −$7 -27%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $25 +$21 +83%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $10 +$9 +93%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $1,336 +$294 +22%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $143 +$128 +89%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $162 −$160 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $48 −$47 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $71 −$70 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $20 +$13 +62%
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 11 $10 +$14 +140%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $23 +$8 +36%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $12 +$16 +134%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $47 +$10 +20%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $179 +$81 +45%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $199 +$189 +95%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $22 +$15 +67%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $15 +$14 +89%
Set Handicap: Potapova (-1.5) vs Sonmez (+1.5) Jun 11 $46 −$8 -18%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $45 −$45 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors (BO3) - Asia Masters G Jun 11 $8 +$12 +150%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 10 $129 +$33 +26%
LoL: Solary vs BOMBA Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $89 +$21 +24%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters G Jun 10 $22 −$22 -99%
Set Handicap: Anisimova (-1.5) vs Siegemund (+1.5) Jun 10 $22 +$19 +86%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $15 −$15 -98%
Set Handicap: Potapova (-1.5) vs Lamens (+1.5) Jun 10 $45 +$55 +124%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala Jun 10 $22 +$16 +70%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Suzan Lamens Jun 10 $10 −$3 -27%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Jun 10 $44 −$13 -30%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) Jun 09 $22 +$25 +114%
Will Serena Williams Win Return Doubles Match at HSBC Championships? Jun 09 $10 −$10 -99%
Set Handicap: Jovic (-1.5) vs Ruzic (+1.5) Jun 09 $43 +$28 +64%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $431 +$41 +10%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $431 +$46 +11%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 1 Winn Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$3,886
weather 1% +$96
world 0% −$2
other 0% −$27
politics 0% $0
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 86¢ $1,604 33m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner SELL Gen.G 100¢ $1,603 44m
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 68¢ $18 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 25¢ $20 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 81¢ $1,307 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL KT Rolster 91¢ $67 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster 31¢ $23 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 84¢ $603 15h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 68¢ $13 16h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY Vitality 72¢ $76 17h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 50¢ $10 17h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Iva Jovic 36¢ $6 18h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 36¢ $25 18h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 30¢ $10 19h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 46¢ $19 19h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 60¢ $10 19h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 61¢ $25 19h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu SELL Emma Raducanu 98¢ $20 20h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 44¢ $10 21h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 54¢ $25 22h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 100¢ $271 22h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 86¢ $1,154 23h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 65¢ $134 23h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 54¢ $48 23h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 65¢ $162 24h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 52¢ $143 24h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 49¢ $48 24h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY B8 38¢ $10 24h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 51¢ $23 25h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 50¢ $48 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-5.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 91 +4.1% -5.8% 57% 56% -3.3%
≤30d 434 +7.5% -2.8% 57% 55% -0.9%
≤90d 791 +4.4% -5.5% 54% 52% -1.4%
all 809 +4.6% -5.4% 54% 52% -1.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.4% 52% -1.3%
10% -14.4% 48% -10.7%
15% -22.7% 43% -19.4%
20% -30.3% 36% -27.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,475.69 · official $1,475.69 (match) · 1549 history records