Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:26:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7C
0x7c81…394f
crypto · 1376 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$60 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$61 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$61
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses1105 / 270
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1375 / 1376
History coverage2d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day1817.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 1 History 1375 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$61
7 days−$61
14 days−$61
30 days−$61
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 89¢ 100¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+12%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -63%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$5 -73%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -20%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +14%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -81%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -77%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$5 -66%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -23%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -70%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -61%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -51%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +32%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -62%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +11%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -58%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% −$65
other 8% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $7 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Down 32¢ $1 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 8m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $0 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Up 21¢ $2 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $6 9m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 9m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $1 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 12m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $1 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $2 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 20m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 21m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 25m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 27m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 32m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $4 37m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $3 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $4 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 38m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $6 41m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Up 17¢ $1 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $1 43m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1375 -0.3% -9.8% 80% 37% -10.6%
≤30d 1375 -0.3% -9.8% 80% 37% -10.6%
≤90d 1375 -0.3% -9.8% 80% 37% -10.6%
all 1375 -0.3% -9.8% 80% 37% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1817.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 37% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 11% -19.1%
15% -26.3% 1% -26.9%
20% -33.5% 0% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.78 · official $7.78 (match) · 3500 history records