Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:06:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7C
0x7c68…448a
other · 4 markets active 1h ago
7.0score
+$3 +33%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses2 / 0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)2 / 4
History coverage2d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day2.6
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 2 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$3
14 days+$3
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2 +$2 +107%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 +$1 +42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $2 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $3 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $2 11h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $2 38h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+58.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +74.8% +58.1% 100% 100% +58.1%
≤30d 2 +74.8% +58.1% 100% 100% +58.1%
≤90d 2 +74.8% +58.1% 100% 100% +58.1%
all 2 +74.8% +58.1% 100% 100% +58.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +58.1% 100% +58.1%
10% +43.0% 100% +43.0%
15% +29.2% 100% +29.1%
20% +16.5% 50% +16.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.84 · official $4.85 (match) · 6 history records