Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T17:44:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
7C 0x7c62…7c25 crypto 74 markets active 1h ago coverage 3d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (60 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$6 (+1%) realized +$6 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -15% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -35% what you keep after slip
Net edge-35%after slip
Net WR27%break-even
Win rate34%25W / 49L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day60.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 66% −$22
tech 34% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (60 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-23.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 74 -15.3% -23.4% 34% 27% -15.5%
≤30d 74 -15.3% -23.4% 34% 27% -15.5%
≤90d 74 -15.3% -23.4% 34% 27% -15.5%
all 74 -15.3% -23.4% 34% 27% -15.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover60.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.4% 27% -15.5%
10% ← realistic here -30.7% 23% -23.6%
15% -37.4% 18% -30.9%
20% -43.5% 16% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 22% · top 2 30% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
16% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -15% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -16% → late -15% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$2 · ×1.25 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.64 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses25 / 49
Open positions0
Markets (closed)74 / 74
History coverage3d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day60.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 74 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$2 -54%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$1 -28%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$3 -42%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$3 +119%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$1 -59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$1 -48%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$2 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$3 -55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$1 -51%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$1 -50%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +83%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$1 -12%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 -10%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$3 +54%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -70%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$4 -79%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +35%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +66%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$1 -21%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$1 -26%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$3 -63%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$4 +374%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $9 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$2 -47%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$1 -12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -92%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$1 -45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$3 +146%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +78%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +27%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 22¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 36¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 32¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 18¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 21¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 14¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 13¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 228 history records