Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:41:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7C
0x7c59…0c2c
weather · 1364 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$981 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$839 · open −$143
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,482
Realized−$839
Unrealized−$143
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses1288 / 19
Whale WR (big bets)96%
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions55
Markets (closed)1307 / 1364
History coverage13d
Avg bet$55
Trades / day150.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 55 History 1307 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$952
7 days−$753
14 days−$839
30 days−$839
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? Yes 18¢ 17¢ $55 $51 −$4 (-7%)
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+0%)
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C or below on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 100°F or higher on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 104°F or higher on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C or higher on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C or higher on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 12? Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on June 12? Jun 13 $20 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 79°F or below on June 12? Jun 13 $20 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 67°F or below on June Jun 13 $30 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on Ju Jun 13 $65 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on June Jun 13 $30 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 88°F or higher on June Jun 13 $57 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 61°F or below on June 12? Jun 13 $30 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 104°F or higher on June 12? Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 102-103°F on June 1 Jun 13 $20 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on June 12? Jun 13 $4 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on Jun Jun 13 $30 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 66-67°F on June 12? Jun 13 $30 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 84°F or higher on June 12? Jun 13 $30 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 79°F or below on June 12? Jun 13 $30 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 12? Jun 13 $30 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 12? Jun 13 $30 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 65°F or below on June 12? Jun 13 $30 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 12? Jun 13 $30 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 12? Jun 13 $30 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 102°F or higher on June 12? Jun 13 $30 $0 +0%
HYPE Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on Jun Jun 13 $30 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on Jun Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on Ju Jun 13 $30 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on Jun Jun 13 $30 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on Jun Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 80°F or higher on June Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on Ju Jun 13 $65 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 81°F or below on June Jun 13 $65 $0 +1%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on Jun Jun 13 $30 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on Jun Jun 13 $30 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 61°F or below on June Jun 13 $30 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C or below on June 12? Jun 13 $30 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C or below on June 1 Jun 13 $30 $0 +0%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $65 $0 +0%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $64 $0 +0%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $78 $0 +0%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $64 $0 +0%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $94 +$1 +2%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $78 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 31% +$49
weather 26% +$55
other 22% −$1,146
crypto 18% +$50
finance 4% +$10
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $30 0m
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C or higher on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $7 1m
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C or higher on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $14 2m
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on Jun BUY No 100¢ $20 10m
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $30 1h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $30 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $50 1h
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $50 1h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $50 1h
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 67°F or below on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $17 2h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C or higher on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $5 2h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C or higher on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $15 2h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C or higher on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $3 2h
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $30 2h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C or higher on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $5 2h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C or higher on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $7 2h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C or higher on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $5 2h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $30 3h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $30 3h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $30 3h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C or higher on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $10 3h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $30 3h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $30 3h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $30 4h
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $30 4h
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on Jun BUY No 100¢ $10 4h
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on Jun BUY No 100¢ $8 4h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $30 4h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $30 4h
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $30 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 468 -2.6% -11.9% 97% 0% -11.7%
≤30d 1307 +0.8% -8.8% 99% 1% -10.6%
≤90d 1307 +0.8% -8.8% 99% 1% -10.6%
all 1307 +0.8% -8.8% 99% 1% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover150.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.8% 1% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -17.5% 1% -19.1%
15% -25.5% 0% -26.9%
20% -32.8% 0% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,482.40 · official $1,482.40 (match) · 3500 history records