trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -2.6% | -11.8% | 0% | 0% | -11.6% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -2.8% | -12.1% | 33% | 0% | -12.9% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -2.6% | -11.9% | 30% | 0% | -12.7% |
| all | 28 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 46% | 4% | -11.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.8% | 4% | -11.0% |
| 10% | -18.4% | 0% | -19.5% |
| 15% | -26.3% | 0% | -27.3% |
| 20% | -33.5% | 0% | -34.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 88¢ | 88¢ | $40 | $41 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 23 | $37 | $0 | -0% |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | Jun 23 | $31 | −$2 | -5% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 27 | $25 | −$1 | -4% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | May 26 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | May 26 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | May 25 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | May 25 | $83 | −$10 | -12% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 25 | $35 | +$1 | +3% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 25 | $4 | $0 | -9% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | May 24 | $36 | $0 | -1% |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Dec 13 | $8 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 06 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Jun 28 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 26 | $29 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential elect | Jun 05 | $4 | +$1 | +13% |
| Will Trump deport less than 250,000? | May 18 | $4 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025? | May 17 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025? | May 11 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Sweden qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final? | May 11 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Justin Trudeau be named in Epstein files? | May 11 | $28 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Pedro Nuno Santos be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after th | May 10 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 'Fight or Flight' gross less than $0.9m opening weekend? | May 10 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion? | May 09 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? | May 09 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Cavaliers vs. Warriors be the 2025 NBA Finals matchup? | May 08 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' have the best domestic opening weekend | May 08 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 12 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 14-21? | Mar 22 | $10 | $0 | +1% |