trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Curaçao? | Yes | 7¢ | 8¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+19%) |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $1 | $0 | −$0 (-50%) |
| Exact Score: Germany 0 - 2 Curaçao? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-94%) |
| Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Curaçao? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-94%) |
| Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Curaçao? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-99%) |
| Exact Score: Germany 1 - 0 Curaçao? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-99%) |
| Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Curaçao? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Yes | 31¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 82¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Yes | 33¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Switzerland | 60¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $5 | +$6 | +114% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $5 | +$4 | +87% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$2 | -31% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $5 | +$2 | +32% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $10 | +$4 | +44% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -17.1% | -25.0% | 44% | 44% | -41.9% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -17.1% | -25.0% | 44% | 44% | -41.9% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -17.1% | -25.0% | 44% | 44% | -41.9% |
| all | 9 | -17.1% | -25.0% | 44% | 44% | -41.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -25.0% | 44% | -41.9% |
| 10% | -32.2% | 44% | -47.5% |
| 15% | -38.7% | 33% | -52.6% |
| 20% | -44.7% | 22% | -57.2% |