Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:57:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7C
0x7c1c…f824
crypto · 1324 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$316 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$316 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$316
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses1100 / 411
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1511 / 1324
History coverage77d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day23.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1511 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$251
7 days−$255
14 days−$253
30 days−$256
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$51
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 35h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-23.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 265 -69.9% -72.7% 26% 5% -65.1%
≤30d 435 -42.6% -48.0% 52% 12% -47.1%
≤90d 1511 -15.3% -23.3% 73% 21% -22.0%
all 1511 -15.3% -23.3% 73% 21% -22.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.3% 21% -22.0%
10% ← realistic here -30.7% 6% -29.5%
15% -37.4% 3% -36.3%
20% -43.5% 1% -42.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records