Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T04:38:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
7C 0x7c0f…ce81 crypto 1489 markets active 0h ago coverage 14d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 14d only
✗ bot/MM pace (189 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$420 (-4%) realized −$420 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR59%break-even
Win rate59%789W / 545L
Drawdown77%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day189.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,235
7 days−$1,826
14 days+$689
30 days+$709
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$3,085
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (189 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-1.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 462 -37.8% -43.7% 33% 33% -54.3%
≤30d 1334 +9.5% -1.0% 59% 59% -3.6%
≤90d 1334 +9.5% -1.0% 59% 59% -3.6%
all 1334 +9.5% -1.0% 59% 59% -3.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover189.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.0% 59% -3.6%
10% ← realistic here -10.4% 59% -12.8%
15% -19.1% 59% -21.3%
20% -27.0% 59% -29.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +6% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +9% · $-wt +6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +35% → late -16% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$8 · ×0.81 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.17 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

14d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$420
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses789 / 545
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1334 / 1489
History coverage14d ⚠
Avg bet$8
Trades / day189.3
Drawdown77%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1334 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 15 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 15 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 15 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records