Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:08:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7C
0x7c01…f7a7
sports · 10 markets active 1h ago
6.5score
+$245 +113%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$242 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$103
Realized+$242
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses2 / 1
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions7
Markets (closed)3 / 10
History coverage128d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown12%
Kalshi-fit70%
Chart Positions 7 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$250
7 days+$220
14 days+$220
30 days+$220
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Germany 49¢ 48¢ $40 $39 −$1 (-3%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 36¢ $10 $14 +$4 (+37%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 20¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+21%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Yes 21¢ 20¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $35 +$250 +711%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 08 $31 −$30 -98%
Seahawks vs. Patriots Feb 09 $49 +$22 +45%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 86% +$244
other 14% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $10 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 18¢ $10 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $10 1h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $10 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 16¢ $10 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $10 1h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $285 1h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 12¢ $35 4h
Spread: Germany (-3.5) BUY Germany 49¢ $40 5d
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 29¢ $31 5d
Seahawks vs. Patriots BUY Seahawks 69¢ $49 127d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+188.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +305.5% +266.9% 50% 50% +295.7%
≤30d 2 +305.5% +266.9% 50% 50% +295.7%
≤90d 2 +305.5% +266.9% 50% 50% +295.7%
all 3 +218.7% +188.3% 67% 67% +181.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +188.3% 67% +181.9%
10% +160.7% 67% +154.9%
15% +135.5% 67% +130.3%
20% +112.4% 33% +107.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $103.33 · official $103.33 (match) · 12 history records