trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? | Jun 12 | $169 | −$6 | -4% |
| Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 TOUR Championship? | Jun 12 | $1,655 | −$17 | -1% |
| Will George Pickens play for New Orleans Saints in 2026-27? | Jun 12 | $16 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Maya Joint be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | Jun 11 | $611 | −$18 | -3% |
| Will Ashlyn Krueger be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | Jun 11 | $25 | −$1 | -3% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET | Jun 11 | $10 | +$6 | +55% |
| Will George Pickens play for Washington Commanders in 2026-27? | Jun 11 | $1,996 | −$15 | -1% |
| Will Kyler Murray be traded? | Jun 11 | $145 | −$4 | -3% |
| Will George Pickens play for Cleveland Browns in 2026-27? | Jun 10 | $230 | −$7 | -3% |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026? | Jun 10 | $20,535 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Tyreek Hill play for the Dallas Cowboys next? | Jun 09 | $1,237 | −$36 | -3% |
| Will Tyreek Hill play for the Los Angeles Rams next? | Jun 09 | $36 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Tyreek Hill play for the Chicago Bears next? | Jun 09 | $85 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tyreek Hill play for the Minnesota Vikings next? | Jun 08 | $438 | −$5 | -1% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | +1.6% | -8.1% | 13% | 7% | -9.9% |
| ≤30d | 15 | +1.6% | -8.1% | 13% | 7% | -9.9% |
| ≤90d | 15 | +1.6% | -8.1% | 13% | 7% | -9.9% |
| all | 15 | +1.6% | -8.1% | 13% | 7% | -9.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -8.1% | 7% | -9.9% |
| 10% | -16.9% | 7% | -18.5% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -24.9% | 7% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -32.3% | 7% | -33.6% |