Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:03:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7B
0x7bf1…3f67
weather · 205 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$357 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$377 · open +$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$682
Realized−$377
Unrealized+$5
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses175 / 26
Whale WR (big bets)94%
Open positions4
Markets (closed)201 / 205
History coverage12d
Avg bet$438
Trades / day292.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 201 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$275
7 days−$326
14 days−$377
30 days−$377
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? Yes 98¢ 98¢ $505 $508 +$3 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? No 99¢ 99¢ $171 $172 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 13? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+250%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-75%)
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 6? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 9? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 7? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 9? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 10? Yes 92¢ 0¢ $620 $0 −$620 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 13? Jun 13 $794 −$12 -2%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 13? Jun 13 $396 +$2 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 13? Jun 13 $282 −$3 -1%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $829 +$11 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 13? Jun 13 $44 +$16 +37%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $48 +$33 +68%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 13? Jun 13 $746 +$10 +1%
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? Jun 13 $23 $0 +2%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $730 +$6 +1%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 12? Jun 12 $226 +$2 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $268 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $447 +$3 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $16 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $534 +$4 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -76%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $572 +$21 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 12? Jun 12 $204 +$6 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 12 Jun 12 $143 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $678 +$7 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $128 +$2 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $654 +$72 +11%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 12? Jun 12 $289 +$4 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $230 +$2 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 +$1 +25%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 12? Jun 12 $433 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 11? Jun 11 $924 +$8 +1%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 81°F or below on June Jun 11 $2 −$1 -85%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 11? Jun 11 $519 +$4 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $129 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on June 11? Jun 11 $51 +$1 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on June 11? Jun 11 $615 +$11 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 11? Jun 11 $548 +$9 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 +$2 +20%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 11? Jun 11 $126 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 11? Jun 11 $14 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 11? Jun 11 $523 +$3 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 11? Jun 11 $459 +$20 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11? Jun 11 $458 +$30 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 11? Jun 11 $615 +$6 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 11? Jun 11 $587 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 11? Jun 11 $577 +$12 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 11? Jun 10 $101 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 10? Jun 10 $73 −$73 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 10? Jun 10 $595 +$4 +1%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 10? Jun 10 $199 +$2 +1%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 10? Jun 10 $117 +$1 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 10? Jun 10 $622 −$620 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 10? Jun 10 $68 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 32°C on June 10? Jun 10 $13 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 10? Jun 10 $116 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 99% −$383
other 1% +$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 2m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 4m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $17 6m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $32 10m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 10m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $25 13m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $30 14m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $30 14m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $80 15m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $1 18m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 18m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 18m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 23m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 26m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 27m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 29m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 31m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $297 32m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? BUY Yes 98¢ $0 33m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $87 33m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? BUY Yes 98¢ $499 33m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? BUY Yes 98¢ $6 33m
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 13? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 35m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 95¢ $86 39m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 95¢ $21 39m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 95¢ $28 39m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 94¢ $9 41m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 94¢ $12 41m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 94¢ $8 42m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 94¢ $119 42m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-4.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 128 +10.7% +0.1% 87% 8% -10.2%
≤30d 201 +5.9% -4.2% 87% 7% -10.0%
≤90d 201 +5.9% -4.2% 87% 7% -10.0%
all 201 +5.9% -4.2% 87% 7% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover292.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.2% 7% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -13.4% 4% -18.6%
15% -21.7% 3% -26.5%
20% -29.4% 2% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $682.36 · official $682.36 (match) · 3500 history records