Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:35:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7B
0x7beb…7b8f
crypto · 135 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$11 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$11 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized−$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses72 / 56
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions7
Markets (closed)128 / 135
History coverage3d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day136.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 7 History 128 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$11
14 days−$11
30 days−$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 84¢ 82¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? No 84¢ 97¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+15%)
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? No 84¢ 97¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+15%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? No 84¢ 86¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? No 81¢ 74¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-8%)
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? No 88¢ 96¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $2 $0 +16%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $1 $0 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -47%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% −$11
other 8% +$1
sports 2% −$1
world 2% $0
politics 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL No 97¢ $1 1h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY No 88¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? SELL No 99¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? SELL No 98¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? BUY No 90¢ $1 4h
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? BUY No 81¢ $1 18h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 90¢ $1 20h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 90¢ $1 21h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $1 21h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 84¢ $1 21h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 91¢ $1 22h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY No 84¢ $1 23h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $1 24h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 84¢ $1 24h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 81¢ $1 24h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $1 24h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 84¢ $1 24h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic BUY Nuno Borges 82¢ $1 31h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 86¢ $1 31h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 86¢ $1 31h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? SELL No 99¢ $1 31h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? SELL No 97¢ $1 31h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 90¢ $1 40h
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan SELL Marco Trungelliti 53¢ $1 40h
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan BUY Marco Trungelliti 83¢ $1 42h
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? BUY No 84¢ $1 42h
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? BUY No 84¢ $1 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $0 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 47h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-15.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 128 -6.9% -15.8% 56% 38% -16.4%
≤30d 128 -6.9% -15.8% 56% 38% -16.4%
≤90d 128 -6.9% -15.8% 56% 38% -16.4%
all 128 -6.9% -15.8% 56% 38% -16.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover136.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.8% 38% -16.4%
10% ← realistic here -23.8% 13% -24.4%
15% -31.2% 2% -31.7%
20% -37.9% 1% -38.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.73 · official $10.18 (match) · 390 history records