trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 51¢ | 100¢ | $27 | $53 | +$26 (+98%) |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-97%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $7 | +$1 | +18% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $54 | −$54 | -100% |
| Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals | Jun 14 | $31 | −$31 | -100% |
| Will Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2026 Indian Premier League? | May 31 | $40 | +$13 | +33% |
| Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals | May 29 | $19 | +$5 | +26% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -60.7% | -64.4% | 33% | 33% | -91.7% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -24.6% | -31.8% | 60% | 60% | -48.6% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -24.6% | -31.8% | 60% | 60% | -48.6% |
| all | 5 | -24.6% | -31.8% | 60% | 60% | -48.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -31.8% | 60% | -48.6% |
| 10% | -38.3% | 40% | -53.5% |
| 15% | -44.3% | 0% | -58.0% |
| 20% | -49.8% | 0% | -62.1% |