Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T18:06:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.5
score
7B 0x7be6…c63e crypto 402 markets active 0h ago coverage 47d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$30 (+0%) realized +$31 · open −$1
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate100%395W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$55per market
Trades / day15.8pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$442now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$3
14 days+$9
30 days+$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% +$26
other 0% +$1
weather 0% $0
sports 0% $0
finance 0% $0
tech 0% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 255 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 395 +0.2% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
all 395 +0.2% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover15.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.4% 0% -9.4%
10% -18.0% 0% -18.1%
15% -26.0% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$0 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

47d coverage
Net worth$442
Realized+$31
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses395 / 0
Open positions7
Markets (closed)395 / 402
History coverage47d
Avg bet$55
Trades / day15.8
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 7 History 395 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on June 23? No 100¢ 100¢ $115 $115 −$0 (-0%)
Will Ethereum reach $1,950 on June 23? No 100¢ 100¢ $105 $105 −$0 (-0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on June 23? No 100¢ 100¢ $96 $96 −$0 (-0%)
Will Solana dip to $55 on June 23? No 100¢ 99¢ $62 $61 −$1 (-1%)
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on June 23? No 100¢ 100¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-0%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 23? No 100¢ 100¢ $25 $25 +$0 (+0%)
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? No 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Solana reach $80 on June 23? Jun 23 $15 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 23? Jun 23 $29 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 23? Jun 23 $120 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 22? Jun 23 $44 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 22? Jun 23 $62 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,450 on June 22? Jun 23 $87 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 on June 22? Jun 23 $23 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $85 on June 22? Jun 23 $15 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $60 on June 22? Jun 23 $50 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 22? Jun 22 $15 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 22? Jun 22 $140 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 22? Jun 22 $20 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 22? Jun 22 $26 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $50 on June 21? Jun 22 $100 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 on June 21? Jun 22 $57 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $55 on June 21? Jun 22 $100 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $85 on June 21? Jun 22 $120 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on June 21? Jun 22 $80 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 19? Jun 20 $80 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $60 on June 19? Jun 20 $75 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on June 19? Jun 20 $81 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 19? Jun 19 $150 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 19? Jun 19 $100 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $95 on June 18? Jun 19 $40 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $85 on June 18? Jun 19 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 18? Jun 18 $60 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 18? Jun 18 $50 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $85 on June 17? Jun 18 $300 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $60 on June 17? Jun 18 $40 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on June 17? Jun 18 $50 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 17? Jun 18 $35 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 17? Jun 17 $60 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 17? Jun 17 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 17? Jun 17 $220 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 17? Jun 17 $95 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $50 on June 15? Jun 16 $4 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $85 on June 15? Jun 16 $20 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on June 15? Jun 15 $118 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 15? Jun 15 $135 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 15? Jun 15 $40 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 on June 14? Jun 15 $150 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $55 on June 14? Jun 15 $100 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 14? Jun 14 $100 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $1,850 on June 13? Jun 14 $1 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on June 13? Jun 14 $180 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,450 on June 13? Jun 14 $200 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $55 on June 13? Jun 13 $132 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $80 on June 13? Jun 13 $211 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 13? Jun 13 $30 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $55 on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Solana reach $80 on June 23? SELL No 100¢ $15 1m
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? BUY No 100¢ $10 22m
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on June 23? BUY No 100¢ $30 38m
Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on June 23? BUY No 100¢ $30 51m
Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on June 23? BUY No 100¢ $30 51m
Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on June 23? BUY No 100¢ $30 51m
Will Solana dip to $55 on June 23? BUY No 100¢ $2 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on June 23? BUY No 100¢ $0 1h
Will Ethereum reach $1,950 on June 23? BUY No 100¢ $45 1h
Will Ethereum reach $1,950 on June 23? BUY No 100¢ $60 1h
Will Solana dip to $55 on June 23? BUY No 100¢ $60 1h
Will Solana reach $80 on June 23? BUY No 100¢ $15 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 23? BUY No 100¢ $25 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on June 23? BUY No 100¢ $115 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on June 23? BUY No 100¢ $6 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 23? BUY Yes 100¢ $30 16h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 23? BUY Yes 100¢ $30 16h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 23? BUY Yes 100¢ $30 16h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 23? BUY Yes 100¢ $30 16h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 23? BUY Yes 100¢ $29 20h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 22? BUY No 100¢ $24 20h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 22? BUY No 100¢ $62 26h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,450 on June 22? BUY No 100¢ $17 26h
Will Solana dip to $60 on June 22? BUY No 100¢ $50 27h
Will Solana reach $85 on June 22? BUY No 100¢ $15 27h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,450 on June 22? BUY No 100¢ $70 27h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 22? BUY No 100¢ $20 27h
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 on June 22? BUY No 100¢ $23 27h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 22? BUY Yes 100¢ $20 27h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 22? BUY No 100¢ $15 33h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $441.51 · official $441.51 (match) · 1125 history records