trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 8 | +2.2% | -7.5% | 50% | 0% | -7.5% |
| ≤90d | 13 | +7.6% | -2.6% | 46% | 15% | -8.2% |
| all | 13 | +7.6% | -2.6% | 46% | 15% | -8.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -2.6% | 15% | -8.2% |
| 10% | -11.9% | 15% | -17.0% |
| 15% | -20.4% | 15% | -25.0% |
| 20% | -28.2% | 15% | -32.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Modi out by December 31, 2026? | No | 93¢ | 92¢ | $260 | $259 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Cambodia (-2.5) | Jun 10 | $471 | +$19 | +4% |
| Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? | Jun 09 | $438 | −$2 | -0% |
| Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 0.5 | Jun 08 | $476 | +$24 | +5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? | Jun 07 | $475 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Greece (-2.5) | Jun 06 | $478 | +$17 | +4% |
| Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by July 31? | Jun 04 | $478 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Croatia (-2.5) | Jun 03 | $472 | +$27 | +6% |
| U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? | Jun 02 | $464 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Konyaspor (-2.5) | Apr 27 | $34 | −$34 | -100% |
| Will Cuba recognize Israel by June 30 | Apr 27 | $9 | +$20 | +218% |
| Spread: Kocaelispor (-2.5) | Apr 18 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, | Apr 18 | $24 | +$16 | +64% |
| EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30? | Apr 04 | $190 | −$1 | -1% |