trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -75.1% | -77.5% | 20% | 20% | -81.9% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -30.3% | -36.9% | 55% | 55% | -37.1% |
| ≤90d | 24 | +5.4% | -4.6% | 71% | 67% | -15.7% |
| all | 28 | +11.4% | +0.8% | 71% | 68% | -4.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +0.8% | 68% | -4.9% |
| 10% | -8.9% | 50% | -14.0% |
| 15% | -17.7% | 36% | -22.3% |
| 20% | -25.7% | 32% | -29.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | No | 75¢ | 74¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Yes | 48¢ | 56¢ | $11 | $13 | +$2 (+16%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $15 | +$4 | +24% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 11 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Jun 11 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | Jun 11 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Jun 11 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Jun 02 | $25 | +$5 | +19% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | Jun 02 | $21 | +$14 | +65% |
| Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k? | May 28 | $17 | +$3 | +19% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 21? | May 28 | $18 | +$3 | +16% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | May 20 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | May 20 | $20 | +$5 | +24% |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-07? | May 13 | $23 | +$5 | +23% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 13 | $21 | +$13 | +62% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | May 07 | $15 | +$1 | +8% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | May 07 | $21 | +$14 | +67% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 18? | Apr 21 | $15 | +$2 | +13% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 21 | $15 | +$28 | +188% |
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Apr 18 | $10 | +$2 | +23% |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qu | Apr 10 | $37 | −$37 | -100% |
| Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31? | Apr 10 | $20 | +$2 | +11% |
| Lakers vs. Pistons | Mar 30 | $11 | +$13 | +117% |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Mar 23 | $45 | −$45 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | Mar 23 | $17 | +$7 | +43% |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27? | Mar 23 | $24 | +$26 | +108% |
| LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffs | Feb 20 | $13 | +$13 | +104% |
| Rockets vs. Hornets | Feb 20 | $26 | +$19 | +72% |
| 76ers vs. Trail Blazers | Feb 16 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Pacers | Feb 07 | $85 | +$96 | +113% |