Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:06:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7B
0x7bac…c521
crypto · 378 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$5,634 +28%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$26 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$49
Realized+$26
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses176 / 201
Open positions1
Markets (closed)377 / 378
History coverage1d
Avg bet$54
Trades / day2383.6
Drawdown94%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 377 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$26
7 days+$26
14 days+$26
30 days+$26
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 38¢ 60¢ $24 $37 +$13 (+56%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 47¢ 40¢ $14 $12 −$2 (-14%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $46 −$15 -32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$6 -14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$9 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $41 −$28 -69%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$13 -82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $60 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $63 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $52 +$7 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $119 +$3 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $54 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$5 -32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$6 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$6 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $58 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $39 −$4 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $35 −$1 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $31 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $70 −$9 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$10 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $44 −$10 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$5 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $68 +$2 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $48 +$14 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $165 −$2 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $166 +$8 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$12 -71%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $56 +$4 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $101 +$47 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $113 +$13 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $44 −$12 -28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $47 −$16 -33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $154 −$20 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$1 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $118 +$3 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $99 +$6 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$1 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $28 −$28 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $38 −$8 -20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $68 +$7 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$7 -57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $35 −$26 -75%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $35 +$8 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $0 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $0 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $4 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $4 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $0 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $0 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $6 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $8 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $9 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $15 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $4 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $5 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $3 9m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-15.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 377 -6.2% -15.1% 47% 31% -9.4%
≤30d 377 -6.2% -15.1% 47% 31% -9.4%
≤90d 377 -6.2% -15.1% 47% 31% -9.4%
all 377 -6.2% -15.1% 47% 31% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2383.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.1% 31% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -23.3% 19% -18.1%
15% -30.7% 12% -26.0%
20% -37.5% 10% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $49.14 · official $46.08 · 3500 history records