Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:06:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7B
0x7ba9…60ab
world · 265 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$356 -22%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$368 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP world specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$73
Realized−$368
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses106 / 151
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions38
Markets (closed)257 / 265
History coverage65d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day52.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 38 History 257 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$309
7 days−$301
14 days−$296
30 days−$308
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No 93¢ 94¢ $13 $13 +$0 (+1%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 16¢ 15¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-6%)
Trump goes to space in 2026? No 97¢ 97¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-0%)
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-4%)
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? No 98¢ 98¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-0%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes 46¢ 46¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? No 96¢ 94¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No 93¢ 96¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+4%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 82¢ 81¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? No 70¢ 75¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+7%)
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No 87¢ 90¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+3%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes 32¢ 42¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+28%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes 32¢ 32¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 84¢ 84¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? No 97¢ 94¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes 30¢ 52¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+72%)
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes 20¢ 23¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+15%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Yes 90¢ 99¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June? No 89¢ 92¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 97¢ 99¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
NATO dissolves before 2027? No 94¢ 96¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No 92¢ 95¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No 91¢ 92¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No 60¢ 60¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes 24¢ 24¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 20, 2026? Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Tennessee State Tigers vs. Iowa State Cyclones Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteers Jun 12 $4 −$8 -200%
Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakers Jun 12 $6 −$12 -200%
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game Jun 12 $1 −$12 -1199%
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 151.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Tiger Woods play in the 2026 Masters Tournament? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Jun 12 $17 −$34 -200%
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigers Jun 12 $5 −$10 -200%
LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcats Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? Jun 12 $2 −$4 -200%
Will Iran strike Oman again in March? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -106%
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm Jun 12 $5 −$10 -200%
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? Jun 12 $5 −$9 -178%
Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -104%
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 29, 2026? Jun 12 $4 −$8 -200%
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 202 Jun 12 $13 −$19 -144%
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026? Jun 12 $1 −$3 -228%
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026? Jun 12 $2 −$139 -6937%
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars Jun 12 $6 −$12 -200%
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 3, 2026? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026? Jun 12 $2 −$4 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +60%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? Jun 12 $2 $0 -3%
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX? Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Jun 12 $1 $0 -15%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? Jun 12 $2 $0 -5%
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 12 $21 −$3 -16%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Jun 11 $1 $0 -6%
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? Jun 11 $1 +$1 +89%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? Jun 11 $3 −$2 -62%
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Jun 11 $1 $0 -22%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? Jun 11 $1 $0 -46%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10? Jun 11 $1 $0 -8%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 9? Jun 10 $2 $0 +5%
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals? Jun 09 $2 $0 +7%
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? Jun 08 $1 $0 +9%
Israel closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 08 $5 −$2 -40%
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? Jun 08 $2 $0 +6%
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? Jun 07 $2 $0 -2%
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 07 $2 −$2 -99%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 5? Jun 07 $1 $0 +32%
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Jun 07 $4 +$10 +251%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 71% −$69
sports 10% +$20
other 9% −$6
politics 5% −$8
crypto 3% +$2
economics 1% −$2
finance 1% −$5
tech 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 84¢ $1 9m
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 10m
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 10m
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 11¢ $0 14m
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 18m
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? SELL No 84¢ $2 19m
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? BUY No 60¢ $1 21m
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? SELL Yes 20¢ $1 22m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY No 61¢ $1 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 41¢ $0 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 41¢ $0 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 41¢ $0 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 16¢ $1 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 16¢ $0 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 16¢ $0 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 14¢ $0 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 14¢ $0 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 14¢ $0 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 14¢ $0 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 14¢ $0 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 40¢ $0 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY No 91¢ $1 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 39¢ $0 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 39¢ $0 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 39¢ $0 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 39¢ $0 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 39¢ $0 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 39¢ $0 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 39¢ $0 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 39¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-25.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 51 -45.6% -50.8% 27% 14% -62.2%
≤30d 96 -25.6% -32.7% 31% 19% -37.2%
≤90d 257 -17.5% -25.3% 41% 16% -16.8%
all 257 -17.5% -25.3% 41% 16% -16.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover52.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.3% 16% -16.8%
10% ← realistic here -32.5% 11% -24.8%
15% -39.0% 9% -32.0%
20% -45.0% 7% -38.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $72.88 · official $71.10 · 3500 history records