Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:55:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7B
0x7b99…d462
crypto · 645 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$38 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$38 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$38
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses244 / 401
Open positions0
Markets (closed)645 / 645
History coverage14d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day76.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 645 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$22
7 days−$17
14 days−$38
30 days−$38
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$4 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +162%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +185%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +162%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +169%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +241%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$38
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET SELL Up 3¢ $0 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Down 4¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Down 4¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 4¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 4¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Down 5¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET SELL Down 4¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Up 4¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 569 -3.2% -12.4% 38% 35% -11.1%
≤30d 645 -3.9% -13.0% 38% 35% -12.4%
≤90d 645 -3.9% -13.0% 38% 35% -12.4%
all 645 -3.9% -13.0% 38% 35% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover76.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.0% 35% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -21.4% 33% -20.8%
15% -29.0% 31% -28.4%
20% -35.9% 27% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1073 history records