Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:47:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7B
0x7b97…f460
other · 103 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$23 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$23 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized+$23
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)18%
Wins / losses18 / 84
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)102 / 103
History coverage87d
Avg bet$80
Trades / day2.9
Drawdown69%
Kalshi-fit52%
Chart Positions 1 History 102 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No 100¢ 100¢ $11 $11 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 10 $12 $0 -0%
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $13 $0 -0%
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 04 $13 $0 -0%
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 03 $12 $0 -0%
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Jun 02 $71 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May? Jun 02 $23 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May? Jun 02 $35 $0 +0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 31 $13 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 30 $102 $0 -0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me May 29 $17 $0 -0%
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 24 $179 $0 -0%
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 23 $12 $0 -0%
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 22 $216 $0 -0%
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? May 19 $89 $0 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 17 $86 $0 -0%
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 17 $178 $0 -0%
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 17 $184 $0 -0%
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 15 $88 $0 -0%
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 14 $83 $0 -0%
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 14 $90 $0 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 13 $281 −$2 -1%
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 10 $87 $0 -0%
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? May 09 $180 $0 -0%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ju May 08 $91 $0 -0%
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026? May 07 $186 $0 -0%
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 06 $92 $0 -0%
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? May 05 $86 $0 -0%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June May 05 $184 $0 -0%
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026? May 04 $143 $0 -0%
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 04 $275 $0 -0%
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 02 $89 $0 -0%
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? May 02 $199 $0 -0%
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 01 $95 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April? May 01 $11 $0 +0%
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 29 $96 $0 -0%
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 28 $189 $0 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 24 $138 $0 -0%
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 24 $91 $0 -0%
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? Apr 19 $93 $0 -0%
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026? Apr 18 $96 $0 -0%
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 17 $163 $0 -0%
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 15 $193 $0 -0%
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? Apr 15 $107 $0 -0%
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 15 $88 $0 -0%
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 14 $142 $0 -0%
Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 14 $185 $0 -0%
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 13 $154 $0 -0%
Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 13 $95 $0 -0%
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 13 $94 $0 -0%
Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 12 $96 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 62% $0
politics 18% −$3
economics 5% $0
culture 4% $0
sports 4% +$28
world 3% $0
tech 2% $0
crypto 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $11 1h
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $12 2d
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $12 2d
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $13 3d
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $13 3d
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $13 8d
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $13 8d
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 100¢ $12 9d
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $12 9d
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $20 10d
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $20 10d
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $13 12d
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $13 12d
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $12 13d
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $12 13d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $17 14d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $17 14d
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May? BUY No 100¢ $23 17d
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $20 19d
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $20 19d
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $12 20d
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $12 20d
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $12 21d
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $12 21d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May? BUY No 100¢ $35 23d
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 100¢ $89 25d
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $89 25d
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $86 26d
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $86 26d
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $88 26d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-5.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 20 -0.1% -9.6% 10% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 102 +4.6% -5.4% 18% 13% -9.3%
all 102 +4.6% -5.4% 18% 13% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.4% 13% -9.3%
10% -14.4% 13% -18.0%
15% -22.7% 11% -25.9%
20% -30.3% 10% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.35 · official $11.35 (match) · 279 history records