trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +6.1% | -4.0% | 100% | 0% | -4.0% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +34.2% | +21.4% | 88% | 50% | -1.6% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +17.6% | +6.4% | 82% | 45% | -1.4% |
| all | 13 | +14.4% | +3.5% | 69% | 38% | -1.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +3.5% | 38% | -1.5% |
| 10% | -6.4% | 23% | -10.9% |
| 15% | -15.5% | 23% | -19.5% |
| 20% | -23.7% | 15% | -27.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 81¢ | 80¢ | $115 | $114 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 25 | $112 | +$7 | +6% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $1 | $0 | -4% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Jun 17 | $1 | $0 | +8% |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs | Jun 17 | $1 | +$1 | +57% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | Jun 17 | $2 | $0 | +16% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? | Jun 17 | $3 | +$1 | +46% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | Jun 17 | $4 | +$6 | +138% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | Jun 17 | $211 | +$14 | +7% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15? | May 20 | $264 | +$7 | +3% |
| LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Ch | May 14 | $211 | +$37 | +18% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 06 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch? | Feb 27 | $2 | $0 | -0% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day | Feb 27 | $1 | $0 | -6% |