Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T13:31:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
7B 0x7b90…679f crypto 582 markets active 0h ago coverage 8d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (113 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$131 (-4%) realized −$131 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR51%break-even
Win rate77%451W / 131L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day112.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$122
7 days−$150
14 days−$148
30 days−$148
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$148
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (113 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 536 -4.1% -13.2% 78% 51% -12.6%
≤30d 582 -4.2% -13.3% 77% 51% -11.6%
≤90d 582 -4.2% -13.3% 77% 51% -11.6%
all 582 -4.2% -13.3% 77% 51% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover112.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.3% 51% -11.6%
10% ← realistic here -21.6% 30% -20.1%
15% -29.2% 15% -27.8%
20% -36.1% 2% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
32% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$5 · ×0.22 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.77 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$131
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses451 / 131
Open positions0
Markets (closed)582 / 582
History coverage8d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day112.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 582 Trades
no open positions (97 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$5 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$8 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$7 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$8 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$4 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$6 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 30¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $10 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $10 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $10 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $10 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $3 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1506 history records