Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:51:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7B
0x7b84…a13e
sports · 857 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,887 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,356 · open −$22
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,469
Realized−$1,356
Unrealized−$22
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses669 / 168
Whale WR (big bets)89%
Est. fees paid−$148
Open positions19
Markets (closed)837 / 857
History coverage74d
Avg bet$429
Trades / day40.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 19 History 837 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days−$1,908
14 days−$1,882
30 days−$1,798
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Washington Nationals 100¢ 100¢ $1,204 $1,206 +$2 (+0%)
AHL: Toronto Marlies vs. Chicago Wolves Toronto Marlies 100¢ 100¢ $426 $426 −$1 (-0%)
Israeli forces enter Tyre by June 7? No 99¢ 97¢ $192 $189 −$3 (-1%)
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) Washington Nationals 99¢ 98¢ $143 $140 −$3 (-2%)
Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 89¢ 96¢ $111 $119 +$8 (+7%)
California Redwoods vs. New York Atlas California Redwoods 99¢ 100¢ $105 $106 +$1 (+1%)
Rainbow Six Siege: Help Us LFO vs Can You Be My Enemy (BO1) - Asia Pacific League APAC North - Stage 1 Group Stage Help Us LFO 100¢ 95¢ $99 $94 −$5 (-5%)
Dota 2: NA, we'd win vs the bug - Game 2 Winner the bug 100¢ 100¢ $51 $51 −$0 (-0%)
Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5) Washington Nationals 100¢ 100¢ $47 $47 −$0 (-0%)
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs Gaming By Legends (BO1) - ROG Journey Group A Noir Verse 99¢ 50¢ $47 $24 −$23 (-49%)
Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5) Washington Nationals 100¢ 99¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 85¢ 88¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 68¢ 69¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 93¢ 94¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 81¢ 80¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will any player break a device during IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1? No 97¢ 96¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5 Over 83¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+20%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets New York Mets 96¢ 96¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 95¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Golden Knights 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
ITF Ljubljana: Gregor Hausberger vs Oleksii Krutykh Oleksii Krutykh 97¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Spread: Germany (-4.5) Jun 14 $11 $0 +4%
Spread: Germany (-5.5) Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan Jun 14 $1 $0 +0%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 14 $10 +$2 +23%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs. Hapoel Holon BC Jun 14 $8 $0 +0%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Brazil Jun 14 $584 −$4 -1%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Malawi vs Zimbabwe High Performance Xi Jun 14 $2,150 +$2 +0%
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 14 $1,104 +$4 +0%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 14 $1 $0 +17%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1 $0 +48%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa Jun 13 $2,150 +$2 +0%
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan - Completed matc Jun 13 $242 $0 +0%
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan Jun 13 $103 −$1 -1%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates Jun 13 $102 +$1 +1%
ITF Varnamo: Henry Bernet vs Sandro Kopp Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
HSBC Championships (Doubles): Fernandez/Siegemund vs Panova/Schuurs Jun 13 $305 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Counter-Strike: Gaming By Legends vs Saab (BO1) - ROG Journey Group A Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs MASQ (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Brazil vs Malawi Jun 12 $838 +$1 +0%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Nigeria Jun 12 $1,701 +$2 +0%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Hong Kong, China vs United Arab Emirates Jun 12 $1,301 +$1 +0%
ITF Maanshan: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Thanapet Chanta Jun 12 $1,594 +$2 +0%
ITF Maanshan: Dong Ju Kim vs Matthew Dellavedova Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Indonesia vs Thailand Jun 12 $125 $0 +0%
ITF Wuning: Anchisa Chanta vs Mai Hontama Jun 12 $288 $0 +0%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 11 $1,003 +$2 +0%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $1,102 −$1 -0%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Malawi Jun 11 $22 $0 +2%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Nigeria vs Brazil Jun 11 $1,513 +$5 +0%
ITF Monastir: Mohamed Nazim Makhlouf vs Dominick Mosejczuk Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
ITF Zagreb: Ekaterina Kazionova vs Mia Ristic Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
ITF Maanshan: Thanapet Chanta vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Jun 11 $124 +$1 +1%
ITF Maanshan: Evan Zhu vs Kokoro Isomura Jun 11 $560 +$1 +0%
ITF Cuiaba: Maria Herazo vs Camila Romero Jun 10 $101 $0 +0%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $1,110 +$2 +0%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $1 $0 +14%
ITF Vaasa: Elias Julian Werner vs Petros Tsitsipas Jun 10 $64 $0 +0%
Ilkley: Mimi Xu vs Elizabeth Mandlik Jun 10 $1 $0 +5%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Zimbabwe High Performance Xi vs Brazil Jun 10 $1,391 −$12 -1%
ITF Vaasa: James Beaven vs Tom Zeuch Jun 10 $64 $0 +0%
ITF Monastir: Rodrigo Fernandes vs Aziz Dougaz Jun 10 $50 $0 +0%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Zimbabwe High Performance Xi Jun 10 $103 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$1,387
other 1% +$12
world 0% −$3
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5) BUY Washington Nationals 100¢ $20 0m
Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5) BUY Washington Nationals 100¢ $48 1m
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) BUY Washington Nationals 100¢ $42 1m
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) BUY Washington Nationals 99¢ $101 4m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 100¢ $1,001 11m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 99¢ $101 21m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 99¢ $101 22m
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 96¢ $1 27m
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Miami Marlins 98¢ $10 41m
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 96¢ $1 43m
Spread: Germany (-5.5) BUY Germany 99¢ $1 54m
Spread: Germany (-4.5) BUY Germany 96¢ $10 1h
Spread: Germany (-4.5) BUY Germany 97¢ $1 1h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 83¢ $1 2h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 96¢ $1 2h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan BUY India 100¢ $1 3h
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Brazil BUY Rwanda 100¢ $114 6h
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Brazil BUY Rwanda 100¢ $36 7h
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Malawi vs Zimbabwe High Performance Xi BUY Zimbabwe High Performance Xi 100¢ $604 7h
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Malawi vs Zimbabwe High Performance Xi BUY Zimbabwe High Performance Xi 100¢ $1 7h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Bangladesh 91¢ $1 7h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 81¢ $10 7h
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Brazil BUY Rwanda 100¢ $1 7h
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Malawi vs Zimbabwe High Performance Xi BUY Zimbabwe High Performance Xi 100¢ $2 7h
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Malawi vs Zimbabwe High Performance Xi BUY Zimbabwe High Performance Xi 100¢ $204 8h
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Malawi vs Zimbabwe High Performance Xi BUY Zimbabwe High Performance Xi 100¢ $999 8h
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Malawi vs Zimbabwe High Performance Xi BUY Zimbabwe High Performance Xi 100¢ $14 9h
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Brazil BUY Rwanda 100¢ $216 9h
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Brazil BUY Rwanda 100¢ $114 9h
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Malawi vs Zimbabwe High Performance Xi BUY Zimbabwe High Performance Xi 100¢ $3 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 68 -1.2% -10.6% 88% 12% -15.4%
≤30d 299 -3.9% -13.1% 86% 6% -10.6%
≤90d 837 -2.1% -11.4% 80% 5% -9.9%
all 837 -2.1% -11.4% 80% 5% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover40.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.4% 5% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.9% 2% -18.5%
15% -27.6% 1% -26.4%
20% -34.7% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,468.74 · official $2,461.87 (match) · 3500 history records