Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T03:11:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
7B 0x7b83…2ead crypto 70 markets active 0h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (146 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$666 (-26%) realized −$643 · open −$23
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -34% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -50% what you keep after slip
Net edge-50%after slip
Net WR29%break-even
Win rate29%18W / 44L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$37per market
Trades / day146.1pace
Fees−$6est.
Kalshi-fit84%portable
Net worth$169now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 79% −$634
sports 14% −$125
other 8% −$81
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (146 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-40.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 62 -34.3% -40.6% 29% 29% -42.0%
≤30d 62 -34.3% -40.6% 29% 29% -42.0%
≤90d 62 -34.3% -40.6% 29% 29% -42.0%
all 62 -34.3% -40.6% 29% 29% -42.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover146.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -40.6% 29% -42.0%
10% ← realistic here -46.3% 29% -47.6%
15% -51.5% 29% -52.6%
20% -56.2% 27% -57.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 26% · top 2 47% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -36% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -34% · $-wt -36% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -23% → late -46% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$42 vs −$36 · ×1.18 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.48 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$169
Realized−$643
Unrealized−$23
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses18 / 44
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions5
Markets (closed)62 / 70
History coverage2d
Avg bet$37
Trades / day146.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 5 History 62 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5 Over 41¢ 52¢ $63 $81 +$18 (+28%)
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw? No 56¢ 50¢ $59 $52 −$7 (-12%)
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27? Yes 30¢ 20¢ $30 $20 −$10 (-35%)
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Team Liquid 16¢ 14¢ $19 $16 −$3 (-16%)
Jordan vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Over 29¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 28 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw? Jun 28 $69 −$68 -99%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27? Jun 27 $53 −$52 -98%
Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5 Jun 27 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 27 $69 −$56 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 27 $28 −$27 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 27 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 27 $3 −$3 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 27 $3 +$5 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 27 $16 +$10 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 27 $34 +$55 +161%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 27 $20 −$19 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 27 $74 −$74 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 27 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 27 $160 +$86 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 27 $10 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 27 $60 −$57 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 27 $77 −$73 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 27 $51 −$49 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 27 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 27 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 27 $29 −$28 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 27 $40 +$196 +484%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 27 $48 −$46 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 27 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 27 $78 −$75 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 27 $45 −$44 -97%
Panama vs. England: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 27 $31 −$30 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 27 $4 +$5 +118%
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26? Jun 27 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 27 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 27 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 27 $52 +$53 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 27 $109 +$73 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 27 $157 −$153 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 27 $50 −$49 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 27 $147 +$163 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 27 $58 −$57 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 27 $21 −$20 -94%
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw? Jun 27 $25 +$27 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 27 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 27 $96 −$96 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 27 $32 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 27 $17 +$14 +86%
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? Jun 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? Jun 27 $2 $0 -10%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? Jun 27 $5 +$4 +70%
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 Jun 26 $10 −$10 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Liquid 16¢ $19 6m
Jordan vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Over 29¢ $20 29m
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw? BUY No 56¢ $60 1h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27? BUY Yes 30¢ $31 1h
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 41¢ $64 1h
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw? BUY No 30¢ $18 1h
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw? BUY No 30¢ $11 1h
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw? BUY No 40¢ $41 1h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27? AND Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27? BUY 13¢ $25 3h
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27? BUY Yes 24¢ $40 3h
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27? BUY Yes 28¢ $13 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $60 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $9 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $11 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $9 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $7 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $8 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 81¢ $26 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $16 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 10h
Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 69¢ $29 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $89 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $168.56 · official $173.80 · 317 history records