Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:55:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7B
0x7b7a…3e93
crypto · 42 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$10 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses19 / 22
Open positions1
Markets (closed)41 / 42
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day136.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 1 History 41 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$10
14 days−$10
30 days−$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 92¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $13 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$4 +400%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +182%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +68%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $4 −$3 -85%
Czechia to score first vs. Korea Republic? Jun 12 $4 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$7
other 3% −$3
sports 3% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Up 23¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Up 14¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Up 13¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Down 7¢ $0 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 25m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 41 -0.5% -10.0% 46% 34% -14.3%
≤30d 41 -0.5% -10.0% 46% 34% -14.3%
≤90d 41 -0.5% -10.0% 46% 34% -14.3%
all 41 -0.5% -10.0% 46% 34% -14.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover136.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 34% -14.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 24% -22.5%
15% -26.4% 24% -30.0%
20% -33.7% 15% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.08 · official $0.88 (match) · 158 history records