Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:34:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7B
0x7b74…0482
sports · 67 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,334 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,058 · open −$25
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3,698
Realized+$1,058
Unrealized−$25
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses10 / 28
Whale WR (big bets)40%
Est. fees paid−$1,251
Open positions29
Markets (closed)38 / 67
History coverage2d
Avg bet$1,473
Trades / day1328.7
Drawdown78%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 29 History 38 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,058
7 days+$1,058
14 days+$1,058
30 days+$1,058
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Miami Marlins 49¢ 48¢ $788 $784 −$4 (-1%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles 86¢ 82¢ $444 $427 −$16 (-4%)
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays 85¢ 82¢ $328 $320 −$8 (-2%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Detroit Tigers 28¢ 28¢ $223 $219 −$5 (-2%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Houston Astros 75¢ 52¢ $311 $217 −$95 (-30%)
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 Under 40¢ 40¢ $193 $193 +$0 (+0%)
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Texas Rangers 32¢ 30¢ $202 $185 −$18 (-9%)
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 4.5 Corners Over 39¢ 36¢ $195 $180 −$15 (-8%)
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 4.5 Corners Under 46¢ 46¢ $177 $174 −$3 (-2%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Under 33¢ 34¢ $165 $168 +$2 (+2%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Arizona Diamondbacks 43¢ 38¢ $129 $111 −$17 (-13%)
United States vs. Paraguay: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5 Over 43¢ 45¢ $92 $97 +$4 (+5%)
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 3.5 Corners Under 31¢ 30¢ $92 $90 −$2 (-2%)
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5 Over 22¢ 22¢ $74 $73 −$2 (-2%)
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5 Under 25¢ 24¢ $75 $70 −$4 (-6%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 33¢ 22¢ $100 $64 −$36 (-36%)
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over 25¢ 24¢ $62 $61 −$1 (-2%)
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5 Over 16¢ 14¢ $63 $58 −$5 (-8%)
United States vs. Paraguay: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over 11¢ 11¢ $55 $55 +$0 (+0%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Philadelphia Phillies 12¢ 16¢ $22 $28 +$6 (+29%)
Weston McKennie: 2+ shots Yes 55¢ 50¢ $29 $26 −$3 (-9%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Over 19¢ 20¢ $19 $20 +$0 (+3%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5 Under 10¢ 10¢ $16 $17 +$1 (+5%)
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Over 7¢ 8¢ $16 $17 +$1 (+7%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins 49¢ 56¢ $14 $16 +$2 (+15%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $56 +$44 +79%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 3.5 Corners Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 4.5 Corners Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $54 +$46 +85%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $7 +$1 +10%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 2.5 Corners Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 3.5 Corners Jun 12 $78 −$19 -25%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 4.5 Corners Jun 12 $52 +$24 +46%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 5.5 Corners Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $6,184 −$640 -10%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $1,751 −$122 -7%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $5,586 −$658 -12%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $3,789 −$682 -18%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $4,103 +$24 +1%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $787 −$184 -23%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $1,752 −$354 -20%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $6,696 −$631 -9%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 11 $7,156 +$1,038 +14%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $6,879 +$1,686 +24%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $7,515 −$75 -1%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $5,404 −$758 -14%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 11 $7,220 −$216 -3%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 11 $2,122 +$420 +20%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $2,977 −$97 -3%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $5,004 +$2,747 +55%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $1,411 +$106 +8%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $2,363 −$312 -13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$1,035
other 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 89¢ $8 0m
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Detroit Tigers 27¢ $7 0m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 49¢ $137 0m
United States vs. Paraguay: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 55¢ $6 0m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 72¢ $108 0m
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Detroit Tigers 27¢ $1 1m
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Detroit Tigers 27¢ $1 1m
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Detroit Tigers 27¢ $1 1m
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 25¢ $3 1m
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 72¢ $22 1m
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Detroit Tigers 26¢ $80 1m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 68¢ $3 2m
United States vs. Paraguay: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 55¢ $6 2m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 52¢ $13 3m
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 89¢ $91 3m
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 89¢ $152 3m
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Cincinnati Reds 66¢ $111 3m
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Cincinnati Reds 58¢ $1 3m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 12¢ $7 3m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 12¢ $7 3m
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Miami Marlins 64¢ $3 4m
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 68¢ $231 4m
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 68¢ $231 4m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 70¢ $5 4m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 70¢ $5 4m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 70¢ $5 4m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 12¢ $16 5m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 12¢ $14 5m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 12¢ $16 5m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 70¢ $1 5m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-40.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 38 -34.7% -40.9% 26% 18% -8.3%
≤30d 38 -34.7% -40.9% 26% 18% -8.3%
≤90d 38 -34.7% -40.9% 26% 18% -8.3%
all 38 -34.7% -40.9% 26% 18% -8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1328.7 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -40.9% 18% -8.3%
10% -46.6% 13% -17.1%
15% ← realistic here -51.7% 11% -25.1%
20% -56.5% 8% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,697.76 · official $3,687.31 (match) · 3500 history records