Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:51:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7B
0x7b72…6f4a
crypto · 1309 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$416 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$415 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$415
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses924 / 499
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1423 / 1309
History coverage13d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day195.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1423 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$770
7 days−$611
14 days−$415
30 days−$415
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 64¢ 50¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 76¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+32%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$447
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $0 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)-27.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 980 -30.9% -37.5% 56% 55% -26.0%
≤30d 1423 -19.3% -27.0% 65% 64% -17.0%
≤90d 1423 -19.3% -27.0% 65% 64% -17.0%
all 1423 -19.3% -27.0% 65% 64% -17.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover195.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.0% 64% -17.0%
10% ← realistic here -34.0% 63% -24.9%
15% -40.3% 2% -32.2%
20% -46.2% 1% -38.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.24 · official $2.42 (match) · 3500 history records