Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:01:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7B
0x7b6c…a1c8
crypto · 15 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$10 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$10 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses7 / 8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)15 / 15
History coverage1d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day40.0
Drawdown74%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 0 History 15 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$10
7 days+$10
14 days+$10
30 days+$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $23 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$13 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$4 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +16%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $9 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 76% +$8
other 24% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 93¢ $24 13m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $13 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 17¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 54¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-2.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 +7.6% -2.7% 47% 40% -2.4%
≤30d 15 +7.6% -2.7% 47% 40% -2.4%
≤90d 15 +7.6% -2.7% 47% 40% -2.4%
all 15 +7.6% -2.7% 47% 40% -2.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover40.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.7% 40% -2.4%
10% ← realistic here -12.0% 27% -11.8%
15% -20.5% 27% -20.3%
20% -28.3% 20% -28.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 48 history records