Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:30:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7B
0x7b5b…6446
crypto · 2058 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$979 +16%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$979 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$979
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses1006 / 676
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1682 / 2058
History coverage46d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day50.7
Drawdown40%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1682 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$81
7 days+$289
14 days+$770
30 days+$1,056
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +82%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$979
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)+7.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 327 +24.1% +12.3% 62% 62% +14.9%
≤30d 1399 +24.5% +12.6% 62% 62% +14.6%
≤90d 1682 +19.1% +7.8% 60% 60% +8.5%
all 1682 +19.1% +7.8% 60% 60% +8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover50.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +7.8% 60% +8.5%
10% ← realistic here -2.5% 60% -1.9%
15% -12.0% 60% -11.4%
20% -20.6% 60% -20.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records