Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:23:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7B
0x7b45…f893
other · 99 markets active 4h ago
1.0score
−$60 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$59 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$33
Realized−$59
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)11%
Wins / losses11 / 87
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)98 / 99
Avg bet$272
Trades / day3.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit48%
Chart Positions 1 History 98 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$1
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 99¢ 99¢ $33 $33 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 11 $43 $0 -0%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 10 $298 $0 -0%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 06 $58 $0 -0%
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Jun 04 $46 $0 -0%
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? Jun 03 $82 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May? Jun 02 $63 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $2.80 in May? Jun 02 $129 $0 +0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 31 $290 $0 -0%
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 30 $264 $0 -0%
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 29 $38 $0 -0%
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 24 $56 $0 -0%
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 24 $161 $0 -0%
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in May 23 $38 $0 -0%
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 18 $521 −$1 -0%
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 17 $501 −$1 -0%
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? May 14 $248 $0 -0%
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? May 14 $518 −$1 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 13 $522 −$1 -0%
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 11 $252 $0 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 10 $257 $0 -0%
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? May 09 $452 −$1 -0%
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 08 $516 −$1 -0%
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 07 $505 −$1 -0%
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? May 06 $244 $0 -0%
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 05 $488 −$1 -0%
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? May 03 $257 $0 -0%
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? May 02 $954 −$1 -0%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June May 02 $262 $0 -0%
Will Jack Draper win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 01 $240 $0 -0%
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 30 $243 $0 -0%
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 29 $497 −$1 -0%
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 29 $240 $0 -0%
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 24 $500 −$1 -0%
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 24 $260 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? Apr 19 $517 −$1 -0%
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Apr 18 $251 $0 -0%
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026? Apr 17 $257 $0 -0%
Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 16 $256 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 16 $255 $0 -0%
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Apr 16 $243 $0 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Apr 16 $509 −$1 -0%
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 15 $754 −$1 -0%
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 15 $260 $0 -0%
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Apr 14 $251 $0 -0%
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026? Apr 14 $482 $0 -0%
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 14 $247 $0 -0%
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 14 $498 −$1 -0%
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 13 $511 −$1 -0%
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 13 $254 $0 -0%
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026? Apr 12 $263 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 64% −$31
politics 22% −$7
economics 7% −$2
sports 3% −$20
world 3% −$1
tech 1% $0
crypto 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $33 3h
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $43 24h
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $43 28h
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $56 42h
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $56 47h
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $36 2d
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $36 3d
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $58 6d
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $58 6d
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $46 7d
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $46 8d
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $32 9d
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $32 9d
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $50 9d
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $50 10d
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $42 12d
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $42 12d
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $36 12d
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $36 13d
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $38 13d
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $38 13d
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May? BUY No 99¢ $63 15d
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $56 18d
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $56 19d
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $54 19d
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in SELL No 100¢ $38 19d
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $54 20d
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in BUY No 100¢ $38 20d
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $107 20d
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $55 21d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 18 -0.1% -9.6% 11% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 98 -2.6% -11.8% 11% 7% -9.7%
all 98 -2.6% -11.8% 11% 7% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.8% 7% -9.7%
10% -20.3% 7% -18.4%
15% -28.0% 7% -26.3%
20% -35.0% 7% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $33.44 · official $33.44 (match) · 325 history records