Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:40:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7B
0x7b35…70d9
other · 251 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$131 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$165 · open −$37
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$305
Realized+$165
Unrealized−$37
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses103 / 110
Est. fees paid−$33
Open positions38
Markets (closed)213 / 251
History coverage16d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day152.3
Drawdown88%
Kalshi-fit32%
Chart Positions 38 History 213 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$106
7 days+$167
14 days+$218
30 days+$165
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Alexander Noren finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? No 100¢ 99¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 51¢ 62¢ $24 $29 +$5 (+23%)
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026? No 61¢ 83¢ $21 $28 +$8 (+37%)
Will Alexander Noren finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? No 100¢ 99¢ $21 $21 −$0 (-1%)
Will John Vanderlaan finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? No 100¢ 99¢ $21 $21 −$0 (-1%)
Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 57¢ 58¢ $19 $20 +$0 (+3%)
Will Alexander Noren finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? No 100¢ 99¢ $17 $17 −$0 (-1%)
Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 77¢ 78¢ $16 $16 +$0 (+1%)
Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 46¢ 46¢ $11 $11 −$0 (-1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 10¢ $51 $9 −$42 (-82%)
Will Steven Fisk finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? No 100¢ 99¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-1%)
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? No 89¢ 88¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? No 76¢ 76¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 46¢ 50¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+8%)
1st 5 Innings Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Chicago White Sox 65¢ 50¢ $8 $6 −$2 (-22%)
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? Yes 29¢ 31¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+7%)
Will John Vanderlaan finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? No 100¢ 99¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime? No 58¢ 57¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score No 53¢ 54¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 28¢ 27¢ $6 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? No 89¢ 88¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? No 54¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-8%)
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? No 74¢ 68¢ $5 $4 −$0 (-7%)
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Brazil 33¢ 32¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday? No 98¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Liam Millar: 3+ shots on target Jun 12 $1 $0 -0%
Will Steven Fisk finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 12 $16 $0 -1%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 +$2 +83%
Patrik Schick: Anytime Goalscorer Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $14 $0 -1%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $23 $0 -1%
Spread: Golden Knights (-2.5) Jun 12 $15 $0 -0%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Mexico leading at halftime? Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) Jun 11 $5 +$2 +50%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $12 +$8 +66%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? Jun 11 $19 +$1 +8%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5) Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 Jun 11 $138 +$119 +87%
Will Paul Waring finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 11 $5 $0 -1%
Will Monte qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 09 $3 +$2 +64%
Josh Hart: Assists O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
1H Spread: Knicks (-7.5) Jun 09 $5 $0 -0%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 196.5 Jun 09 $1 +$1 +44%
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals? Jun 08 $71 $0 -0%
Will JT Poston win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workd Jun 08 $41 −$3 -8%
Will Shane Lowry finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournam Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 the Memorial T Jun 08 $4 $0 -9%
Will Alexander Noren finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 the Memorial Tou Jun 07 $0 $0 +2%
Will Tommy Fleetwood finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 the Memorial Tou Jun 07 $7 $0 +5%
Will Sam Burns finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournamen Jun 07 $3 $0 +3%
Will Si Woo Kim finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 the Memorial Tourname Jun 07 $4 $0 +1%
Will Aaron Rai finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournamen Jun 07 $4 $0 -0%
Will Ryan Gerard finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournam Jun 07 $4 $0 +3%
Will Harris English finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 the Memorial Tour Jun 07 $4 $0 -0%
Will Patrick Cantlay finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 the Memorial Tou Jun 07 $4 $0 +0%
Will Si Woo Kim finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 the Memorial Tourname Jun 07 $5 $0 +2%
Will Sam Burns finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournament Jun 07 $4 $0 -0%
Will JT Poston finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournament Jun 07 $2 $0 +0%
Will Ryan Gerard win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Wor Jun 07 $149 +$61 +41%
Will Kurt Kitayama finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 the Memorial Tourn Jun 07 $0 $0 +2%
Will Kristoffer Reitan finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 the Memorial T Jun 07 $5 +$1 +18%
Will Chris Gotterup finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 the Memorial Tour Jun 07 $0 $0 +2%
Will Bud Cauley finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 the Memorial Tourname Jun 07 $3 $0 +1%
Will J.J. Spaun finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 the Memorial Tourname Jun 07 $4 $0 -0%
Will Justin Rose finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournam Jun 07 $2 $0 +8%
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by W Jun 07 $121 +$27 +22%
Will Justin Rose finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 the Memorial Tourname Jun 07 $2 $0 -0%
Will Rory McIlroy finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournam Jun 07 $2 $0 +2%
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workd Jun 07 $22 +$3 +13%
Will Eric Cole finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournamen Jun 07 $4 $0 -0%
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Jun 07 $4 $0 +5%
Will Harry Hall finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 the Memorial Tourname Jun 07 $4 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 48% −$6
sports 45% +$131
crypto 3% $0
politics 2% +$3
finance 1% −$1
culture 1% +$4
world 0% $0
tech 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Tani Oluwaseyi: 2+ goals BUY No 99¢ $1 1m
Esmir Bajraktarević: 2+ goals BUY No 99¢ $1 4m
Liam Millar: 3+ shots on target SELL No 99¢ $1 4m
Liam Millar: 3+ shots BUY No 99¢ $1 17m
Liam Millar: 2+ shots on target BUY No 99¢ $1 17m
Liam Millar: 5+ shots BUY No 99¢ $1 17m
Liam Millar: 4+ shots BUY No 98¢ $1 17m
Liam Millar: 3+ shots on target BUY No 99¢ $1 17m
Liam Millar: 1+ goals + assists BUY No 99¢ $1 17m
Will Steven Fisk finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL No 99¢ $9 59m
Will Steven Fisk finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? SELL No 99¢ $7 59m
Will Steven Fisk finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 40¢ $4 1h
Will Steven Fisk finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY No 100¢ $4 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 21¢ $2 1h
Will Steven Fisk finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY No 100¢ $7 1h
Will John Vanderlaan finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open BUY No 100¢ $6 1h
Will Steven Fisk finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? BUY No 100¢ $9 1h
Will Alexander Noren finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Ope BUY No 100¢ $10 1h
Will Alexander Noren finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Ope BUY No 100¢ $15 1h
Will Alexander Noren finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Ope BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Will Alexander Noren finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open BUY No 100¢ $6 1h
Will Alexander Noren finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Ope BUY No 100¢ $2 1h
Will Alexander Noren finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open BUY No 100¢ $15 1h
Will Alexander Noren finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Ope BUY No 100¢ $15 1h
Will John Vanderlaan finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Ope BUY No 100¢ $6 1h
Will John Vanderlaan finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Ope BUY No 100¢ $15 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $51 1h
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Gran BUY Yes 21¢ $2 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? BUY No 89¢ $7 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 113 -2.9% -12.2% 55% 15% -0.3%
≤30d 213 -3.8% -13.0% 48% 12% -6.7%
≤90d 213 -3.8% -13.0% 48% 12% -6.7%
all 213 -3.8% -13.0% 48% 12% -6.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover152.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.0% 12% -6.7%
10% ← realistic here -21.3% 8% -15.7%
15% -28.9% 6% -23.8%
20% -35.9% 4% -31.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $305.17 · official $310.81 · 2387 history records