Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:42:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7B
0x7b32…377d
crypto · 215 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6,152 -20%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$18,360 · open −$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$98
Realized−$18,360
Unrealized−$11
Win rate (resolved)17%
Wins / losses98 / 465
Open positions1
Markets (closed)563 / 215
History coverage3d
Avg bet$145
Trades / day1008.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 563 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$18,102
7 days−$18,360
14 days−$18,360
30 days−$18,360
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 50¢ 92¢ $50 $92 +$42 (+85%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 18¢ 100¢ $1 $3 +$3 (+445%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 50¢ 8¢ $12 $2 −$11 (-85%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $179 $0 −$179 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $71 $0 −$71 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $92 $0 −$92 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $158 $0 −$158 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $73 $0 −$73 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $97 $0 −$97 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$36 +5623%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $179 −$192 -107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $71 −$56 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $66 −$66 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $92 −$99 -108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $64 −$64 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $158 −$153 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$22 +3852%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $73 −$114 -156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $97 −$97 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $32 −$33 -102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $75 −$80 -106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $95 −$95 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$22 -180%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $87 −$99 -114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $249 −$319 -128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$21 -360%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $39 −$38 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $119 −$119 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $65 −$76 -117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $66 −$66 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $131 −$131 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $69 −$69 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,208
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $33 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $15 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $15 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $14 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $10 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $39 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $13 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $34 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $25 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET SELL Up 62¢ $8 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $14 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $14 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $10 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $8 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $8 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $15 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $7 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET SELL Up 26¢ $12 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $4 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $60 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $23 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $90 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $10 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $31 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 67¢ $9 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $6 55m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-57.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 563 -52.5% -57.0% 17% 11% -43.4%
≤30d 563 -52.5% -57.0% 17% 11% -43.4%
≤90d 563 -52.5% -57.0% 17% 11% -43.4%
all 563 -52.5% -57.0% 17% 11% -43.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1008.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -57.0% 11% -43.4%
10% ← realistic here -61.1% 6% -48.8%
15% -64.9% 4% -53.8%
20% -68.3% 2% -58.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $97.82 · official $97.82 (match) · 3500 history records