Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:24:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7B
0x7b2b…b09b
crypto · 972 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6,020 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,020 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$6,020
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses765 / 228
Whale WR (big bets)92%
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)993 / 972
History coverage14d
Avg bet$533
Trades / day190.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 993 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,769
7 days−$3,212
14 days−$5,075
30 days−$6,020
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 48¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+109%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $460 $0 −$460 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $954 $0 −$954 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $178 $0 −$178 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $495 $0 −$495 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $121 $0 −$121 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $189 $0 −$189 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $490 $0 −$490 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $184 $0 −$184 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - May 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $460 −$460 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $495 −$495 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $189 −$189 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $490 −$490 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $38 +$33 +87%
BNB Up or Down - May 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $485 −$485 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $495 −$495 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $94 −$94 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $490 −$490 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $495 −$495 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $490 −$490 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $490 −$490 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $490 −$490 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $490 −$490 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $303 −$303 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $469 −$469 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$16 +98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$21 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +89%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $1,189 +$11 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $85 −$85 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $27 +$30 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $1,272 +$98 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $688 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $950 +$9 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $1,189 +$11 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $333 +$408 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $82 +$88 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $1,208 +$31 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $83 +$87 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $1,683 −$66 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $2,378 +$22 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $1,566 −$366 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $2,378 +$22 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $127 +$25 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $2,121 +$1,036 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $1,213 +$12 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $87 +$95 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $1,187 +$13 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $907 +$996 +110%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$430
sports 0% +$35
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $9 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $9 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,189 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $85 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,189 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $82 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $688 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $795 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,189 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $6 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-8.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 601 +2.4% -7.3% 67% 27% -10.3%
≤30d 993 +0.7% -8.9% 77% 17% -10.6%
≤90d 993 +0.7% -8.9% 77% 17% -10.6%
all 993 +0.7% -8.9% 77% 17% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover190.1 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.9% 17% -10.6%
10% -17.6% 17% -19.1%
15% ← realistic here -25.6% 16% -26.9%
20% -32.9% 16% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.23 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records