Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:07:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7B
0x7b28…ff4f
crypto · 709 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$3,193 +32%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$947 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$24
Realized+$947
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses238 / 468
Est. fees paid−$134
Open positions3
Markets (closed)706 / 709
History coverage18d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day165.1
Drawdown48%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 3 History 706 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$106
7 days−$34
14 days+$73
30 days+$947
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffs Nuclear TigeRES 72¢ 90¢ $14 $18 +$4 (+25%)
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Alliance (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Nexus 39¢ 43¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+10%)
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage Virtus.pro 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-95%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs Vivo Keyd Stars 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs Donstu Esports 14¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage Leo Team 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 13¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs ex-MANA eSports 27¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Alzon (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Group C METANOIA WOLVES 70¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Esport Academy Copenhagen 30¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - TESFED League Playoffs Eternal Fire Academy 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 34¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 24¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Anubis Gaming 68¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 14 $7 +$5 +71%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Jun 14 $6 −$1 -11%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $110 −$8 -7%
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs Jun 14 $12 +$3 +27%
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Jun 14 $7 −$4 -54%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $84 +$10 +12%
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Dut Jun 13 $13 +$1 +6%
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff Jun 13 $17 −$9 -55%
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - ROG Jour Jun 13 $8 +$2 +25%
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty League Jun 13 $27 +$6 +24%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 13 $81 −$2 -2%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 13 $14 −$1 -6%
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs Jun 13 $22 −$3 -14%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P Jun 13 $57 −$4 -8%
Counter-Strike: MASQ vs STATE (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs Jun 13 $19 $0 +2%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $16 +$1 +7%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 13 $38 −$4 -10%
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Gr Jun 13 $30 +$7 +22%
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - TESFED Leagu Jun 13 $54 −$7 -14%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $19 −$7 -35%
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Nexus (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Jun 13 $13 +$7 +54%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $14 −$1 -7%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $20 −$8 -39%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Jun 13 $0 $0 -45%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playo Jun 13 $14 −$2 -18%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $48 −$7 -15%
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs Jun 13 $52 +$12 +24%
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - ROG Jou Jun 13 $8 −$6 -76%
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty Le Jun 13 $22 +$3 +15%
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs MASQ (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B Jun 12 $110 −$20 -18%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -13%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -43%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -44%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 69% +$138
crypto 24% +$658
other 7% +$154
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Alliance (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Nexus 39¢ $5 7m
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Alliance (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs SELL Alliance 50¢ $16 18m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group SELL Leo Team 72¢ $12 30m
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs SELL fnatic 39¢ $5 40m
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Alliance (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Alliance 52¢ $7 47m
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Alliance (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Alliance 53¢ $7 47m
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Alliance (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Alliance 51¢ $3 51m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY Leo Team 42¢ $7 59m
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY fnatic 44¢ $6 59m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Gen.G 5¢ $1 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 51¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY Virtus.pro 1¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro BUY Nuclear TigeRES 72¢ $14 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro SELL Virtus.pro 30¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro SELL illwill 47¢ $9 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY Virtus.pro 57¢ $11 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro SELL Virtus.pro 51¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY illwill 47¢ $9 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY Virtus.pro 20¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro SELL illwill 88¢ $18 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro SELL Virtus.pro 34¢ $7 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY illwill 64¢ $13 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY Virtus.pro 40¢ $8 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 56¢ $11 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 53¢ $11 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Gen.G 40¢ $16 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 25¢ $5 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 25¢ $5 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 70¢ $14 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 75¢ $15 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)+11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 443 +1.5% -8.2% 33% 27% -9.5%
≤30d 706 +23.3% +11.5% 34% 30% -0.7%
≤90d 706 +23.3% +11.5% 34% 30% -0.7%
all 706 +23.3% +11.5% 34% 30% -0.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover165.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +11.5% 30% -0.7%
10% ← realistic here +0.9% 25% -10.2%
15% -8.9% 20% -18.9%
20% -17.8% 14% -26.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $24.03 · official $24.03 (match) · 3500 history records