Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:02:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7B
0x7b25…10aa
sports · 1245 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$182 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$172 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$269
Realized−$172
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses641 / 589
Est. fees paid−$275
Open positions16
Markets (closed)1230 / 1245
History coverage40d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day55.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 16 History 1230 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$120
7 days−$283
14 days−$101
30 days−$592
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Team WE 14¢ 52¢ $12 $44 +$32 (+275%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 19¢ 48¢ $10 $25 +$15 (+150%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 B8 27¢ 56¢ $10 $22 +$11 (+109%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 29¢ 55¢ $10 $19 +$9 (+88%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 82¢ 81¢ $17 $17 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Bebop - Map 1 Winner Bebop 39¢ 50¢ $10 $13 +$3 (+28%)
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage Atreides 47¢ 50¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+7%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage M80 49¢ 50¢ $11 $11 +$0 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs Clutchain - Map 2 Winner Clutchain 48¢ 50¢ $10 $11 +$0 (+4%)
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley Darwin Blanch 44¢ 44¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Ilkley: Oliver Tarvet vs Filippo Romano Oliver Tarvet 66¢ 64¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Alexander Bublik 56¢ 56¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic Katie Boulter 55¢ 55¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz 46¢ 44¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 41¢ 40¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Adrian Mannarino vs. Alex de Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 69¢ 67¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bu Yunchaokete Bu 60¢ 58¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) MOUZ 54¢ 50¢ $10 $10 −$1 (-6%)
Heilbronn: Luka Mikrut vs Emilio Nava Emilio Nava 66¢ 50¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-24%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 6¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-99%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI KT Rolster 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner KT Rolster 16¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) KT Rolster 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Foggia: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Tyra Caterina Grant Tyra Caterina Grant 56¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group D GenOne 37¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $10 +$10 +97%
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 13 $21 −$1 -2%
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $10 +$10 +99%
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite (BO3) - The International North America Ope Jun 13 $10 +$4 +38%
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $11 −$11 -99%
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $9 −$9 -98%
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ Jun 12 $10 +$3 +32%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $10 +$15 +146%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 12 $11 +$23 +216%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 +$11 +109%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $11 +$35 +325%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $10 +$9 +83%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $10 +$12 +114%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 +$11 +109%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $11 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $21 +$25 +124%
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel Jun 12 $10 +$18 +172%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$8 +76%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $10 +$6 +57%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $20 +$1 +3%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $21 +$27 +131%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $9 +$16 +172%
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs MASQ (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $9 +$19 +206%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $20 +$14 +67%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $20 −$3 -16%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $11 $0 -2%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $11 $0 -2%
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5) Jun 12 $11 +$2 +15%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 12 $21 −$21 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $21 +$31 +147%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $21 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 12 $10 +$5 +48%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $19 −$19 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $21 −$21 -98%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$5 +52%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$9 +86%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $9 −$9 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $21 −$21 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $21 −$20 -98%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% −$222
other 4% +$40
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 19¢ $10 9m
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 41¢ $10 34m
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz BUY Alexander Bublik 56¢ $10 36m
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 14¢ $12 37m
Ilkley: Oliver Tarvet vs Filippo Romano BUY Oliver Tarvet 66¢ $10 50m
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bu BUY Yunchaokete Bu 60¢ $10 51m
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Darwin Blanch 44¢ $10 51m
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic BUY Katie Boulter 55¢ $10 57m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 16¢ $9 1h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) BUY MOUZ 54¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 27¢ $11 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster 3¢ $4 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster 12¢ $10 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 50¢ $10 3h
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) BUY KT Rolster 52¢ $10 3h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 11¢ $10 4h
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 46¢ $10 6h
Adrian Mannarino vs. Alex de Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Under 2.5 69¢ $10 6h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner BUY F5 Esports 52¢ $2 7h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner BUY F5 Esports 49¢ $7 7h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner BUY F5 Esports 52¢ $1 7h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Wanted Goons 51¢ $11 7h
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite - Game 1 Winner BUY GG Boom 49¢ $6 9h
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite - Game 1 Winner BUY GG Boom 49¢ $5 9h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY F5 Esports 33¢ $11 10h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 1 Winner BUY F5 Esports 18¢ $9 11h
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite (BO3) - The International North America Ope BUY GG Boom 72¢ $10 11h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 29¢ $11 11h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 47¢ $10 14h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) SELL Aurora Gaming 100¢ $10 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 249 -7.2% -16.0% 48% 44% -17.5%
≤30d 796 -2.8% -12.0% 51% 49% -13.6%
≤90d 1230 -1.3% -10.7% 52% 50% -10.3%
all 1230 -1.3% -10.7% 52% 50% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover55.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 50% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.2% 48% -18.9%
15% -27.0% 43% -26.7%
20% -34.2% 37% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $269.26 · official $251.67 · 3500 history records