Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:36:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7B
0x7b1e…9dc0
crypto · 244 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$168 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$198 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$198
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses115 / 129
Open positions0
Markets (closed)244 / 244
History coverage99d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day5.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 244 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$2
14 days−$9
30 days−$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 04 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 04 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET May 26 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET May 24 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET May 19 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET May 14 $3 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET May 14 $3 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET May 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12PM ET May 06 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET May 06 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET May 06 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET May 06 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET May 06 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Apr 17 $80 −$53 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Apr 17 $11 +$11 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Apr 17 $72 +$5 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Apr 17 $65 +$35 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Apr 17 $10 −$5 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Apr 17 $21 +$7 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Apr 17 $15 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Apr 17 $16 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Apr 17 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Apr 17 $2 −$1 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Apr 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Mar 18 $3 −$1 -18%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 16 Mar 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Mar 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Mar 17 $1 $0 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Mar 17 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Mar 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 16? Mar 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31? Mar 17 $1 −$1 -60%
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Mar 17 $1 $0 +36%
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? Mar 17 $10 $0 -2%
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? Mar 17 $10 $0 +2%
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? Mar 17 $10 $0 -1%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on Ma Mar 17 $5 +$1 +27%
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? Mar 17 $10 +$1 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 16? Mar 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C or higher on Marc Mar 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Mar 16 $3 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Mar 16 $2 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Mar 16 $1 $0 +46%
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Mar 16 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Mar 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% −$181
tech 4% −$2
weather 2% −$16
world 1% +$1
other 1% +$1
politics 1% $0
finance 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Down 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Up 24¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 20d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 26d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $1 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $2 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $1 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Up 68¢ $1 30d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 30d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-22.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -10.2% -18.7% 50% 50% -27.0%
≤30d 10 -50.9% -55.6% 30% 30% -57.1%
≤90d 45 -35.6% -41.7% 38% 27% -27.0%
all 244 -14.2% -22.4% 47% 40% -19.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.4% 40% -19.5%
10% -29.8% 32% -27.2%
15% -36.6% 25% -34.2%
20% -42.8% 16% -40.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 705 history records