Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T12:18:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7B
0x7b1c…ab79
crypto · 126 markets active 1h ago
5.5score
+$78 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$78 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$78
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses55 / 71
Open positions0
Markets (closed)126 / 126
History coverage123d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day2.0
Drawdown61%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 126 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$42
7 days+$69
14 days+$57
30 days+$81
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$8 +151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $29 +$6 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$16 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +154%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$3 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$14 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$9 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $32 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$4 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$17 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$10 +135%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$5 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$15 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $15 −$6 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $49 +$14 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $23 −$3 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $31 +$39 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $30 +$9 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 11 $13 −$12 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $13 +$6 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$4 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$7 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 10 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 09 $11 +$5 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 09 $11 +$8 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 09 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 09 $27 +$21 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 09 $7 −$7 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$78
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Down 9¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $0 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)+5.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 89 +22.1% +10.4% 49% 45% -1.4%
≤30d 122 +18.5% +7.2% 44% 41% -2.0%
≤90d 124 +17.4% +6.2% 44% 40% -2.3%
all 126 +16.3% +5.3% 44% 40% -2.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +5.3% 40% -2.4%
10% -4.8% 33% -11.7%
15% -14.0% 29% -20.2%
20% -22.4% 24% -28.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 265 history records