trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 3 | +6.4% | -3.7% | 67% | 67% | -5.0% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -6.3% | -15.2% | 64% | 55% | -39.0% |
| all | 27 | -11.2% | -19.6% | 70% | 30% | -22.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -19.6% | 30% | -22.1% |
| 10% | -27.3% | 22% | -29.5% |
| 15% | -34.3% | 22% | -36.3% |
| 20% | -40.8% | 15% | -42.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 63¢ | 62¢ | $57 | $57 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $74 | −$73 | -99% |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | Jun 04 | $45 | +$25 | +55% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 29 | $91 | +$59 | +65% |
| Golden Knights vs. Avalanche | May 22 | $68 | −$67 | -99% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 22 | $186 | +$77 | +42% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15? | Apr 13 | $60 | −$59 | -99% |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in t | Apr 13 | $4 | +$3 | +59% |
| Wizards vs. Nets | Apr 13 | $15 | +$9 | +62% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Apr 05 | $512 | −$512 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026? | Apr 05 | $4 | +$2 | +46% |
| Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Apr 05 | $532 | +$19 | +4% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | Mar 16 | $479 | +$59 | +12% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February? | Mar 07 | $467 | +$13 | +3% |
| Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Oly | Feb 14 | $33 | −$33 | -100% |
| Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Feb 14 | $640 | −$640 | -100% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Feb 14 | $1,155 | −$14 | -1% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Feb 04 | $1,092 | +$62 | +6% |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? | Jan 15 | $1,075 | +$17 | +2% |
| Maduro out in 2025? | Jan 07 | $1,030 | +$45 | +4% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Dec 19 | $947 | +$82 | +9% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November? | Dec 05 | $862 | +$85 | +10% |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later? | Nov 20 | $808 | +$54 | +7% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Nov 03 | $1,153 | −$1,153 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October? | Nov 03 | $1,187 | +$12 | +1% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? | Oct 31 | $40 | +$1 | +1% |
| Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | Oct 31 | $41 | +$5 | +12% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | Oct 31 | $1,075 | +$25 | +2% |