Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:57:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7A
0x7afb…ff15
sports · 614 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,026 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,024 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$1,024
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)23%
Wins / losses140 / 472
Est. fees paid−$80
Open positions2
Markets (closed)612 / 614
History coverage302d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day6.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 2 History 612 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,433
7 days−$1,198
14 days−$881
30 days−$443
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI KT Rolster 11¢ 10¢ $8 $7 −$0 (-5%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Tampa Bay Rays 25¢ 18¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-26%)
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs fnatic - Map 2 Winner Eternal Fire 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winner Team Heretics 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffs Zena Esports 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Spread: Thunder (-6.5) Thunder 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spread: Thunder (-8.5) Spurs 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Anyones Legend 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner NRG 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner T1 26¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Heat vs. Lakers Heat 27¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 Winner Bushido Wildcats 33¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 14¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Call of Duty: Vancouver Surge vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier Vancouver Surge 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bulls vs. Hawks Hawks 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Thunder (-11.5) Thunder 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Timberwolves 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner Team Heretics 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winner Team Liquid 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner LGD Gaming 33¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners Chicago White Sox 14¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 GamerLegion 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Valorant: 9z Team vs ShindeN (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Season ShindeN 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Ninjas in Pyjamas 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $15 +$19 +126%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $2 +$6 +258%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $14 +$15 +110%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $8 −$8 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 −$1 -34%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $22 −$21 -98%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 12 $10 −$6 -61%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 12 $21 −$1 -6%
Spread: Knicks (-3.5) Jun 12 $4 $0 -11%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $5 −$3 -67%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $6 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $6 −$5 -80%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $9 +$30 +321%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 12 $11 −$10 -90%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $21 −$21 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $15 −$8 -51%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $12 −$12 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$1 -13%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 12 $8 −$6 -71%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Rainbow Six Siege: Five Fears vs Shopify Rebellion (BO1) - North Ameri Jun 11 $7 −$6 -98%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5) Jun 11 $14 −$2 -17%
Rainbow Six Siege: Spacestation Gaming vs For Fun Esports (BO1) - Nort Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $20 −$2 -9%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $6 −$6 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Las Vegas Aces vs. Los Angeles Sparks Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playof Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Thunder (-6.5) Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 11 $14 −$7 -51%
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs FOKUS (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe S Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Bucks vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5 Jun 11 $10 −$8 -76%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Connecticut Sun vs. Portland Fire Jun 11 $5 −$4 -76%
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Lavked - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualif Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffs Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Lions Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 71% −$570
other 29% −$458
crypto 0% −$8
world 0% +$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 11¢ $2 4m
Spread: United States (-1.5) SELL Paraguay 7¢ $1 4m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 25¢ $3 5m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 11¢ $6 7m
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY Paraguay 13¢ $1 9m
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY Paraguay 14¢ $2 9m
Spread: United States (-1.5) SELL United States 88¢ $32 10m
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 99¢ $8 18m
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 27¢ $2 21m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 98¢ $29 1h
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 41¢ $2 1h
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 41¢ $2 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL KT Rolster 10¢ $3 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 11¢ $4 1h
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 42¢ $2 1h
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 42¢ $2 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $14 1h
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 23¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 37¢ $8 8h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 25¢ $2 9h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 31¢ $2 9h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 45¢ $3 9h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 24¢ $2 9h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 25¢ $4 9h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 23¢ $5 9h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 25¢ $2 10h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 27¢ $2 10h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 27¢ $4 10h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St SELL SPARTA 14¢ $4 10h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 44¢ $14 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-30.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 247 -76.3% -78.5% 6% 5% -60.4%
≤30d 372 -23.9% -31.1% 21% 20% -23.1%
≤90d 451 -23.4% -30.7% 22% 21% -25.6%
all 612 -23.5% -30.8% 23% 21% -21.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -30.8% 21% -21.5%
10% -37.4% 21% -29.0%
15% -43.5% 20% -35.8%
20% -49.0% 19% -42.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.86 · official $9.46 (match) · 2349 history records