Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T04:13:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
7A 0x7af7…4c89 other 4 markets active 6d ago coverage 18d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$20,933 (-87%) realized −$20,933 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -84% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -87% what you keep after slip
Net edge-87%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 4L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6,011per market
Trades / day0.5pace
Fees−$21est.
Kalshi-fit25%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 18d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 96% −$20,075
sports 4% −$989
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-85.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 4 -83.9% -85.4% 0% 0% -90.2%
≤90d 4 -83.9% -85.4% 0% 0% -90.2%
all 4 -83.9% -85.4% 0% 0% -90.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.5 tr/day
realistic slip~10%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -85.4% 0% -90.2%
10% ← realistic here -86.8% 0% -91.1%
15% -88.1% 0% -92.0%
20% -89.2% 0% -92.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -89% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -84% · $-wt -89% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
2.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
— vs −$5,266 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

18d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$20,933
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 4
Est. fees paid−$21
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 4
History coverage18d
Avg bet$6,011
Trades / day0.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit25%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 4 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? Jun 17 $1,010 −$989 -98%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2,564 −$2,502 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $3,971 −$1,408 -36%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $16,500 −$16,165 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? BUY Yes 29¢ $1,010 5d
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 18¢ $2,564 11d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 26¢ $2,563 11d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $3,971 11d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 31¢ $76 24d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 31¢ $5,380 24d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 31¢ $7,814 24d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 31¢ $1,928 24d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 31¢ $1,301 24d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 10 history records