Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:31:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7A
0x7ae9…5ff8
sports · 751 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$330 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$251 · open −$79
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ Wins small, loses big
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$511
Realized−$251
Unrealized−$79
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses490 / 227
Whale WR (big bets)38%
Est. fees paid−$72
Open positions34
Markets (closed)717 / 751
History coverage190d
Avg bet$207
Trades / day7.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 34 History 717 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$80
7 days−$247
14 days−$244
30 days−$244
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parks Tessa Brockmann 15¢ 77¢ $20 $98 +$79 (+402%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 56¢ 100¢ $14 $26 +$11 (+78%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Under 77¢ 100¢ $19 $25 +$6 (+30%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 100¢ $7 $25 +$18 (+257%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yuan Katerina Siniakova 75¢ 87¢ $20 $23 +$3 (+16%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 57¢ 100¢ $12 $21 +$9 (+76%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Over 70¢ 100¢ $12 $17 +$5 (+43%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $17 $17 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 92¢ 100¢ $14 $16 +$1 (+9%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito Aoi Ito 26¢ 26¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-2%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? No 37¢ 38¢ $14 $15 +$0 (+1%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito Petra Marcinko 88¢ 74¢ $15 $12 −$2 (-15%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 26¢ 42¢ $7 $11 +$4 (+60%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Philadelphia Phillies 37¢ 58¢ $7 $11 +$4 (+58%)
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Morocco 69¢ 100¢ $7 $11 +$3 (+45%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner Team Liquid 64¢ 100¢ $7 $11 +$4 (+56%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Team Liquid 70¢ 100¢ $7 $10 +$3 (+43%)
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5 Under 51¢ 100¢ $5 $10 +$5 (+95%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 64¢ 64¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals 59¢ 78¢ $7 $9 +$2 (+31%)
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun Indiana Fever 76¢ 100¢ $7 $9 +$2 (+31%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 78¢ 100¢ $7 $9 +$2 (+28%)
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) Kansas City Royals 70¢ 86¢ $7 $9 +$2 (+23%)
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 170.5 Under 59¢ 100¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+69%)
Spread: Indiana Fever (-11.5) Connecticut Sun 51¢ 52¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $10 +$2 +20%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $30 −$11 -37%
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) Jun 13 $7 +$1 +10%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $7 +$2 +27%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $22 +$6 +28%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5) Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) Jun 13 $7 +$2 +26%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $14 +$7 +50%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $7 +$22 +307%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $13 +$4 +27%
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $7 +$6 +79%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $7 +$8 +109%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $15 +$18 +124%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $22 −$13 -62%
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) Jun 13 $14 −$3 -21%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $15 +$16 +109%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $15 +$22 +152%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $7 +$2 +34%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $7 +$2 +26%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $29 $0 +1%
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) Jun 13 $7 +$6 +90%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $14 +$1 +7%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $5 +$3 +59%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $18 +$1 +6%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Laura Samson Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Olimpia Milano vs. Reyer Venezia Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $14 +$8 +52%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $14 +$15 +101%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $15 +$3 +21%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 13 $34 −$7 -20%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $29 +$6 +22%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $34 −$7 -21%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $16 −$1 -4%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5) Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $34 −$17 -50%
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Gr Jun 13 $21 −$6 -29%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playo Jun 13 $5 +$4 +79%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 82% +$53
crypto 7% +$9
tech 4% −$174
sports 3% −$234
weather 2% $0
culture 1% +$1
politics 1% +$19
economics 0% $0
finance 0% −$5
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 12.5 BUY Over 35¢ $7 1m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 82¢ $7 1m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 26¢ $7 16m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 42¢ $0 16m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 42¢ $5 16m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 19¢ $7 16m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $10 24m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 64¢ $10 24m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $12 24m
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY No 80¢ $7 31m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 61¢ $7 41m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $7 46m
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 85¢ $7 46m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 82¢ $7 56m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 42¢ $7 56m
Spread: Indiana Fever (-11.5) BUY Indiana Fever 49¢ $7 1h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 171.5 BUY Over 47¢ $5 1h
Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5) BUY Indiana Fever 61¢ $5 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 8¢ $5 1h
Spread: Indiana Fever (-11.5) BUY Connecticut Sun 51¢ $7 1h
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) BUY Morocco 4¢ $6 1h
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) BUY Kansas City Royals 70¢ $7 1h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 59¢ $7 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 37¢ $7 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 61¢ $5 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 43¢ $7 1h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5 BUY Under 51¢ $3 1h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5 BUY Under 51¢ $2 1h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 170.5 BUY Under 59¢ $4 1h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 170.5 BUY Under 59¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 269 -4.4% -13.5% 42% 34% -14.1%
≤30d 300 -3.8% -12.9% 48% 32% -13.8%
≤90d 410 -2.0% -11.3% 60% 25% -10.4%
all 717 -0.9% -10.3% 68% 15% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.3% 15% -9.7%
10% -18.9% 12% -18.3%
15% -26.8% 9% -26.2%
20% -33.9% 7% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $510.67 · official $507.52 (match) · 2125 history records