Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:46:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7A
0x7ae5…5e94
crypto · 151 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
−$41 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$41 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$41
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses101 / 50
Open positions0
Markets (closed)151 / 151
History coverage115d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day3.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 0 History 151 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$40
7 days+$30
14 days+$30
30 days+$30
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - April 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +79%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$5 +159%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +79%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$7 +218%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +93%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -54%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$39
other 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 12m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 13m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 13m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 22m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 23m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 23m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 23m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 24m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 31m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 31m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 31m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 32m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 44m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 44m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-3.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 75 +27.5% +15.4% 71% 57% +2.4%
≤30d 75 +27.5% +15.4% 71% 57% +2.4%
≤90d 95 +15.1% +4.2% 65% 52% -4.5%
all 151 +7.2% -3.0% 67% 42% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -3.0% 42% -10.6%
10% -12.3% 34% -19.1%
15% -20.7% 28% -26.9%
20% -28.5% 27% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 488 history records