Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T17:33:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
7A 0x7adc…931b crypto 358 markets active 6h ago coverage 33d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$5 (-1%) realized −$5 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate81%290W / 68L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day12.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$8
14 days−$8
30 days−$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 312 -1.3% -10.7% 82% 35% -11.0%
≤30d 323 -1.5% -10.9% 82% 36% -11.1%
≤90d 358 -1.8% -11.1% 81% 38% -11.3%
all 358 -1.8% -11.1% 81% 38% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover12.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.1% 38% -11.3%
10% -19.6% 19% -19.8%
15% -27.4% 4% -27.5%
20% -34.5% 1% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
51% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.2 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.84 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

33d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses290 / 68
Open positions0
Markets (closed)358 / 358
History coverage33d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day12.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 358 Trades
no open positions (22 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 19 $2 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 19 $2 −$1 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 19 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 19 $2 −$2 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 19 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 19 $2 −$1 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 23¢ $0 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 699 history records