Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:07:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7A
0x7acd…cc93
crypto · 130 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$4 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses126 / 4
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)130 / 130
History coverage7d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day20.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 0 History 130 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$39
7 days−$4
14 days−$4
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$2 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $14 +$1 +5%
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 11? Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
World Cup game relocated away from Mexico? Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 11? Jun 11 $19 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $15 $0 +3%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 11? Jun 11 $14 +$1 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $15 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $15 −$15 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $20 $0 +2%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 11? Jun 11 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +3%
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $15 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% −$10
other 4% +$1
finance 3% +$1
sports 2% +$2
world 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $14 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $14 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $14 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $15 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $15 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $14 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 16h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $14 19h
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 11? BUY No 99¢ $15 20h
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? BUY No 95¢ $14 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $14 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $14 26h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 26h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 11? BUY Yes 97¢ $19 26h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 28h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 130 -0.0% -9.6% 97% 2% -9.7%
≤30d 130 -0.0% -9.6% 97% 2% -9.7%
≤90d 130 -0.0% -9.6% 97% 2% -9.7%
all 130 -0.0% -9.6% 97% 2% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 2% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 0% -18.4%
15% -26.1% 0% -26.3%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 262 history records