Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:58:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7A
0x7aba…7b0c
crypto · 1206 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$496 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$467 · open −$25
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$467
Unrealized−$25
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses550 / 655
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1205 / 1206
History coverage44d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day63.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 1 History 1205 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$22
7 days−$286
14 days−$200
30 days−$808
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? Yes 37¢ 10¢ $35 $10 −$25 (-72%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$6 +135%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +209%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +168%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$9 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +49%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 83% −$410
sports 9% −$31
other 8% −$70
world 0% +$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 77¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 77¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Up 87¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Up 77¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Up 77¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-18.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 224 -61.4% -65.1% 17% 16% -57.0%
≤30d 1034 -20.8% -28.4% 41% 39% -32.1%
≤90d 1205 -10.3% -18.8% 46% 44% -19.8%
all 1205 -10.3% -18.8% 46% 44% -19.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover63.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.8% 44% -19.8%
10% ← realistic here -26.6% 40% -27.5%
15% -33.7% 36% -34.5%
20% -40.2% 29% -40.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.97 · official $9.97 (match) · 3500 history records