trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -33.8% | -40.1% | 12% | 12% | -45.1% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -33.8% | -40.1% | 12% | 12% | -45.1% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -3.4% | -12.6% | 25% | 25% | +19.0% |
| all | 12 | -3.4% | -12.6% | 25% | 25% | +19.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.6% | 25% | +19.0% |
| 10% | -21.0% | 25% | +7.6% |
| 15% | -28.6% | 25% | -2.8% |
| 20% | -35.6% | 25% | -12.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? | Yes | 24¢ | 13¢ | $53 | $29 | −$24 (-45%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 8¢ | 20¢ | $1 | $3 | +$2 (+156%) |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 14¢ | 50¢ | $1 | $2 | +$1 (+261%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 15? | Yes | 16¢ | 20¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+25%) |
| Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) | Netherlands | 25¢ | 14¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-46%) |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 14? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-99%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 13? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 13? | Yes | 30¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 14? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 14? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 13? | Yes | 30¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 14? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 14? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $1 | +$4 | +430% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 13? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 13? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 13? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliament | May 08 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary elect | May 08 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliament | May 08 | $20 | +$29 | +144% |
| Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority? | Apr 15 | $3 | +$9 | +286% |