Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:31:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7A
0x7ab4…a62d
crypto · 322 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$1,381 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,075 · open +$306
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,096
Realized+$1,075
Unrealized+$306
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses161 / 147
Est. fees paid−$12
Open positions14
Markets (closed)308 / 322
History coverage235d
Avg bet$67
Trades / day2.0
Drawdown79%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 14 History 308 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$98
7 days+$101
14 days−$8
30 days+$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? No 70¢ 92¢ $1,066 $1,401 +$334 (+31%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 65¢ 64¢ $163 $160 −$3 (-2%)
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes 61¢ 52¢ $170 $146 −$24 (-14%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? Yes 68¢ 68¢ $100 $101 +$1 (+1%)
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $50 $45 −$5 (-11%)
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? Yes 44¢ 44¢ $40 $40 −$0 (-1%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Yes 78¢ 76¢ $40 $39 −$1 (-2%)
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $36 $36 −$0 (-1%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? Yes 55¢ 55¢ $35 $35 −$0 (-1%)
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 2¢ $20 $32 +$13 (+63%)
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? Yes 73¢ 74¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+0%)
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? Yes 56¢ 56¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) Uruguay 41¢ 40¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $10 $2 −$8 (-76%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 65¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? No 53¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League? No 59¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Liverpool finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $25 +$1 +4%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $61 +$62 +101%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 +$25 +250%
Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch? Jun 12 $23 −$2 -10%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $25 +$13 +50%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $28 +$32 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 08 $31 −$30 -98%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 05 $20 −$20 -98%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 05 $27 −$27 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 03 $21 +$11 +52%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 01 $101 −$100 -99%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? Jun 01 $125 +$27 +22%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 29 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET May 29 $10 −$10 -97%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 21 $50 +$23 +46%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 19 $40 +$61 +153%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET May 19 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET May 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Timberwolves vs. Spurs May 07 $101 +$31 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET May 05 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET May 05 $10 +$13 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET May 05 $10 +$7 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET May 04 $10 −$8 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET May 04 $20 +$9 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET May 04 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET May 04 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5AM ET May 01 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in April? May 01 $25 +$19 +75%
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? May 01 $190 +$133 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Apr 30 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Apr 30 $15 +$10 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Apr 28 $82 −$82 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Apr 27 $10 −$10 -100%
Pistons vs. Magic Apr 26 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Apr 26 $20 +$16 +82%
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers Apr 25 $50 +$35 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Apr 24 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Apr 24 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Apr 24 $110 −$110 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Apr 24 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Apr 24 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Apr 23 $100 +$14 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5AM ET Apr 23 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Apr 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 5AM ET Apr 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Apr 23 $10 +$5 +54%
Nothing Ever Happens: April Apr 23 $30 +$5 +17%
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by April 30, 2026? Apr 23 $100 +$17 +17%
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Apr 23 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 23 $50 −$50 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 44% +$3,767
other 26% −$716
crypto 20% −$564
politics 5% −$747
sports 4% −$219
finance 1% −$139
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? BUY Yes 63¢ $36 1h
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? BUY Yes 56¢ $20 1h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 55¢ $35 1h
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 44¢ $41 1h
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $51 1h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 94¢ $26 1h
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) BUY Uruguay 41¢ $20 26h
Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch? SELL Yes 44¢ $21 26h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 62¢ $89 27h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $10 27h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 46¢ $28 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $10 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $20 5d
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $21 5d
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 21¢ $20 8d
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 67¢ $27 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $21 10d
Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch? BUY Yes 42¢ $13 12d
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? BUY Yes 68¢ $101 12d
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 65¢ $101 12d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 42¢ $51 15d
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 79¢ $20 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 15d
Spurs vs. Thunder BUY Thunder 68¢ $50 24d
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 38¢ $101 24d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 25d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 33d
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 90¢ $25 36d
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 78¢ $20 36d
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 73¢ $20 36d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-17.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +58.3% +43.2% 71% 57% +35.4%
≤30d 17 +4.8% -5.2% 53% 47% -8.7%
≤90d 245 -20.6% -28.1% 50% 47% -26.1%
all 308 -8.9% -17.6% 52% 50% -4.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.6% 50% -4.6%
10% -25.5% 42% -13.7%
15% -32.7% 31% -22.1%
20% -39.3% 23% -29.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,095.98 · official $2,095.98 (match) · 954 history records