Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:41:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7A
0x7aa8…0027
sports · 12 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$176 +15%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$281 · open −$105
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Net worth$180
Realized+$281
Unrealized−$105
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses3 / 3
Est. fees paid−$13
Open positions6
Markets (closed)6 / 12
History coverage2d
Avg bet$96
Trades / day7.2
Drawdown37%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 6 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$284
7 days+$281
14 days+$281
30 days+$281
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Over 29¢ 48¢ $46 $76 +$30 (+65%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 14¢ $43 $35 −$8 (-19%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Over 47¢ 15¢ $89 $28 −$61 (-68%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Over 19¢ 15¢ $30 $24 −$6 (-20%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Over 37¢ $40 $9 −$31 (-77%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Over 33¢ $37 $8 −$29 (-79%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 25¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over 42¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $152 +$163 +107%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $37 +$46 +125%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $203 −$105 -51%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $264 +$280 +106%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $102 −$100 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $102 −$4 -4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 56% +$8
other 44% +$167
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +22.4% +10.8% 50% 50% +24.6%
≤30d 6 +22.4% +10.8% 50% 50% +24.6%
≤90d 6 +22.4% +10.8% 50% 50% +24.6%
all 6 +22.4% +10.8% 50% 50% +24.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +10.8% 50% +24.6%
10% +0.2% 50% +12.7%
15% -9.5% 50% +1.8%
20% -18.4% 50% -8.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $179.91 · official $179.91 (match) · 19 history records